*Data last updated: 2026-04-27 21:50 (UTC+8)
As of 2026-04-27 21:50, Polymarket (POLYMARKET) is priced at $0, with a total market cap of --, a P/E ratio of 0,00, and a dividend yield of %0,00. Today, the stock price fluctuated between $0 and $0. The current price is %0,00 above the day's low and %0,00 below the day's high, with a trading volume of --. Over the past 52 weeks, POLYMARKET has traded between $0 to $0, and the current price is %0,00 away from the 52-week high.
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Gate Learn Articles
What is Polymarket？
Polymarket is a decentralized binary prediction market that allows anyone to place bets and trade on the outcomes of future events based on their own predictions. This reflects the market's genuine opinions on various events. This article will provide a detailed overview of Polymarket from multiple perspectives, including its development background, gameplay, operational mechanism, and economic model, as well as the challenges it currently faces.
2024-11-26
Don't overestimate the efficiency of Polymarket
This article provides an in-depth analysis of the effectiveness of the Polymarket prediction market platform in event forecasting, exploring its limitations in handling small probability changes. The text discusses the potential impact of market liquidity and prediction tokens on improving forecast accuracy, and compares Polymarket with traditional market prediction tools. The author believes that while Polymarket may be superior to traditional polls and expert models in predicting major political events, it is not a precise prediction tool.
2024-09-08
Polymarket Upgrades Exchange Infrastructure With New Collateral Token
Polymarket, the prediction market platform, is set to comprehensively upgrade its trading infrastructure with the introduction of a new trading contract and a new collateral token, Polymarket USD. These changes will enhance order matching efficiency, expand wallet compatibility, and give the platform improved control over settlement and risk management. This upgrade is also closely tied to Polymarket’s ongoing strategy to strengthen regulatory compliance and market transparency in recent years.
2026-04-07
Blogs
Gate Integrates Polymarket: Prediction Markets Enter the Era of Mainstream Trading
Gate has officially integrated the Polymarket prediction market, allowing users to participate in forecasts of global trending events directly through the Gate App. This partnership opens up innovative trading opportunities. Explore the key changes and opportunities brought by this collaboration.
2026-04-27
Gate Integrates Polymarket: Unlocking a New Era of Event-Driven Trading
Explore how prediction markets are transforming crypto trading, shifting the focus from price-driven strategies to event probability assessments. Discover how Gate integrates with Polymarket, including operational details, trading processes, and the market’s potential.
2026-04-27
Can Prediction Markets Forecast Bitcoin Price Trends? An In-Depth Analysis of Polymarket Data
Polymarket and prediction markets like Kalshi offer highly valuable forward-looking tools for assessing Bitcoin price trends.
2026-04-24
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Polymarket (POLYMARKET) Latest News
Polymarket Analysis: Crypto Events Account for 40% of Top 10 Most Volatile Markets
Gate News message, April 27 — Polysights, a third-party prediction market data platform, analyzed over 20,000 Polymarket markets from the past six months and released a volatility ranking. The analysis revealed that cryptocurrency-related markets account for four of the top ten most volatile markets, reflecting high information asymmetry where few participants can accurately predict outcomes. The platform identified several key patterns. Deadline-related questions—such as "Will X happen by [date]?"—generate more volatility than outcome-based questions like "Who will win?" Additionally, market results show a bias toward "yes" outcomes: in markets exceeding $1 million, "yes" results occur 50% of the time compared to 27% across all markets. When markets experience sharp volatility, the final result tends to be "yes." Market size also influences price stability. Mid-sized markets ($1 million to $7 million) exhibit chaotic behavior, while markets above $10 million see more stable price movements due to large capital inflows.
2026-04-27 02:09Polymarket Non-Sports Volume Reaches $7.5B vs. Kalshi's $1.6B, Says Blockchain Capital Partner
Gate News message, April 27 — According to Spencer Bogart, a partner at Blockchain Capital, Kalshi and Polymarket have nearly identical total trading volumes of approximately $12.2 billion each (Kalshi at $12.29 billion, Polymarket at $12.22 billion). However, when sports-related trades are excluded, Polymarket's non-sports volume stands at $7.5 billion, while Kalshi's is only $1.6 billion. The stark difference highlights the divergent market positioning of the two prediction market platforms. Despite their distinct strategies and user bases, both platforms continue to be grouped within the same category in industry discussions. Bogart's analysis underscores how trading volume distribution varies significantly between the platforms when segmented by market category.
2026-04-27 01:38Polymarket Upgrades Platform on April 28, Migrating Collateral from USDC.e to pUSD
Gate News message, April 27 — Polymarket announced it will upgrade its platform on April 28, 2026, at approximately 19:00 UTC, with trading suspended for about one hour during the maintenance window. The upgrade includes a new-generation trading contract (CTF Exchange V2), a reconstructed order book, and an updated collateral token system. Following the upgrade, the platform will migrate from USDC.e to pUSD (Polymarket USD), an ERC-20 asset on Polygon backed 1:1 by USDC on-chain. The protocol will continue to settle in native USDC to enhance capital efficiency and scalability. Most users require no manual action; the frontend will automatically complete the migration with a single authorization. All existing order books will be cleared during the upgrade, requiring users to place new orders afterward, though account balances will be automatically inherited. The new architecture optimizes order matching, fee calculation, and lifecycle management while reducing Gas costs and addressing previous transaction failures caused by nonce and balance validation issues. The new contracts have passed audits by Cantina and Quantstamp, with code and a bug bounty program now publicly available.
2026-04-26 23:13Study: Only 3% of Polymarket Traders Are Skilled; Minority Captures 30%+ of All Gains
Gate News message, April 27 — A new academic paper analyzing all Polymarket transactions from 2023 through 2025 concludes that the platform's accuracy reflects "the wisdom of an informed minority, not the wisdom of the crowd." The working paper, revised April 25, was authored by Roberto Gómez-Cram, Yunhan Guo, and Howard Kung of London Business School and Theis Ingerslev Jensen of Yale. The study covers 1.72 million accounts, 210,322 markets, and approximately $13.76 billion in trading volume. Just 3.14% of accounts qualify as "skilled winners," whose order flow consistently predicts both short-term price moves and final outcomes. These skilled traders and market makers together capture more than 30% of all gains while comprising under 3.5% of all accounts. Using a sign-randomization test that re-ran each trader's history 10,000 times with buy/sell directions flipped randomly, the authors found that raw profit-and-loss is a poor proxy for skill: only 12% of top earners overlap with the skilled group, and roughly 60% of "lucky winners" reverted to losses when tested on a separate sample. Skill proved unusually persistent, with 44% of accounts classified as skilled in a training sample remaining skilled in a held-out sample, compared with approximately 10% for active mutual funds. The 67% of accounts classified as unlucky or unskilled losers absorbed the platform's entire aggregate loss pool. The authors flagged 1,950 accounts suspected of insider activity that opened shortly before a single event and went dormant after resolution. These accounts moved prices roughly 7 to 12 times more per dollar than skilled traders. A case study identified three accounts opened between Dec. 27 and Jan. 3 that collectively cleared more than $630,000 betting on Maduro's ouster before the U.S. military operation was disclosed. This aligns with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's first-ever insider trading complaint involving event contracts, filed against U.S. Army Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke for trading on classified information. The findings emerge at a sensitive moment for prediction markets. Polymarket is reportedly in talks to raise $400 million at a $15 billion valuation, while lawmakers in Washington, New York, and California have introduced bills and executive orders targeting insider participation. The paper directly challenges industry marketing, quoting Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's claim that prediction markets aggregate information more effectively than experts, calling Polymarket "the most accurate thing we have as mankind right now."
2026-04-26 11:11Polymarket Bets on MegaETH Launching with Over $1B Valuation: 88% Probability
Gate News message, April 26 — According to Polymarket prediction market data, there is an 88% probability that MegaETH will have a fully diluted valuation (FDV) exceeding $1 billion one day after launch. Earlier reports indicate the token's TGE is expected on April 30. Market participants are pricing in a 97% probability of FDV exceeding $600 million, 93% for over $800 million, 56% for surpassing $1.5 billion, and 31% for exceeding $2 billion.
