Secondary Market Daily Report 20260104

Market Trends The current cryptocurrency market is in a state of fluctuation and adjustment, with bullish and bearish battles driven by macro policies and institutional movements. On one hand, the potential positive regulation of stablecoins and pro-cryptocurrency policies from the Trump administration have injected policy dividend expectations into the market; on the other hand, high leverage volatility remains significant in a low liquidity environment. Polymarket data shows that traders are optimistic about BTC reaching $95,000 in January (probability 70%), but short-term caution is advised due to CME gap filling and selling pressure at high levels, overall presenting a “cautiously bullish” stance. Mainstream Coins BTC Has short-term rebound momentum. A major investor has opened a 40x leveraged long position, coupled with Tether’s continued holdings and Polymarket’s high bullish outlook, supporting the January upward narrative. Although there is a risk of CME gap filling in the short term, the rising bottom price of institutional holdings provides solid support for the price. ETH Trend is becoming stable, successfully holding above $3,100. Currently, institutional and reserve holdings account for 10.74% of the supply, indicating a high concentration of holdings. As BitMine accelerates staking deployment, the “catch-up explosion” expected in 2026 is heating up, and attention is recommended to the entry opportunities brought by institutional fund inflows. SOL Performs strongly, supported by 33 consecutive days of net inflows into ETFs (led by Bitwise) and RWA ecosystem scale reaching a record high. Technically, SOL has built a strong support around $127. If it can effectively break through the resistance zone of $132 - $135 with increased volume, the subsequent target will be above $145. BNB Entering an “absolute deflation” phase. Daily token burns of about $14 million, combined with upcoming quarterly burns, give it strong long-term holding value in a zero-inflation environment. As Binance’s market share recovers, the long-term target signal of $3,000 has been transmitted in the market, making it suitable for mainstream allocation. Popular Coin Dynamics TRUMP Driven by policy narratives. Events related to Venezuela and Trump Jr.’s hype have triggered rapid capital inflows. As a headline directly linked to political figures’ popularity, it enjoys high policy dividends and social media premiums in the short term, suitable for quick in-and-out trading. SUI Has bullish opportunities. The DLMM mechanism of Ferra Protocol significantly enhances its DeFi vitality. Currently, attention should be paid to the liquidation zone of $1.35 - $1.76. As the ecosystem’s points-based gameplay (TGE expected) becomes more popular, SUI is accumulating energy to break out of the oscillation range. ZEC Faces short-term correction risk. Although privacy narratives supported a huge rise in 2025, recent OTC risks and disputes over the “anonymous finance” definition have created resistance around $505. It is recommended to wait for a deep correction in the $450 - $470 range before considering deployment. VIRTUAL Offers short-term trading opportunities. The ecosystem’s 10x points incentives are stimulating buying demand. In the long term, its ACP mechanism solves the collaboration difficulties of embodied AI. Coupled with the improvements in the Base chain and Solana cross-chain bridge, it is becoming a core value carrier for AI ecosystem nodes. The above information is automatically generated by @xhunt_ai and does not constitute investment advice.