U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Kalshi Raises $1 Billion to Double Valuation to $22 Billion: Reports
Kalshi has raised $1 billion in funding, increasing its valuation to $22 billion, doubling from its last round in December. This growth reflects the rapid investment trend in prediction markets, forecasted to reach $95.5 billion by 2035.
Decrypt6h ago
Polymarket Daily Active Users Surpass 150,000, Trading Volume Exceeds $1 Billion in Recent Two Weeks
Gate News: On March 20, according to Token Terminal data, Polymarket's daily active users reached 151,400, hitting an all-time high. Additionally, the platform's trading volume over the past two weeks exceeded the $1 billion mark, also reaching an all-time high.
GateNews12h ago
Valuation Soars to $22 Billion! Kalshi Secures $1 Billion Funding Led by Coatue, Unfazed by Regulatory Headwinds Across States
US prediction market platform Kalshi recently successfully raised over $1 billion, achieving a valuation of $22 billion, doubling within four months. Despite facing legal challenges, its annual revenue run rate reaches $1.5 billion, demonstrating strong demand from both institutional and retail investors for prediction markets. Investor confidence in Kalshi continues to strengthen, reflecting the platform's potential as a new financial asset.
動區BlockTempo12h ago
Polymarket Data: Probability of Ethereum Breaching $2400 in March Down to 31%, Down 39 Percentage Points from March 16
Polymarket data shows that the probability of Ethereum breaking through $2,400 in March has dropped to 31%, with trading volume at $13.8 million. The probability of breaking through $2,600 is 12%, while the probabilities of falling below $1,800 and $1,600 are 13% and 6%, respectively. Compared to the 70% expectation on March 16, market confidence has significantly declined.
GateNews13h ago
Polymarket: Backpack's Launch Day FDV Breaking $300 Million Probability Drops to 60%
Polymarket prediction shows that the probability of Backpack token surpassing a $300 million FDV on its first day of listing has dropped to 60%, with a 90% probability of surpassing $200 million, and a 99% probability of surpassing $100 million. Current trading volume stands at $6.75 million, with BP pre-market perpetual contracts currently trading at approximately 0.33 USDT, corresponding to an FDV of approximately $330 million.
GateNews13h ago
Bank of Japan Maintains Interest Rate at 0.75% on March 19, Polymarket Launches June Rate Decision Prediction Market
The Bank of Japan decided to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 0.75% with an 8-1 vote at its March 19 meeting, pausing rate hikes for the second consecutive time. Despite economic recovery, the Middle East situation and rising crude oil prices have increased uncertainty, with some institutions expecting a possible resumption of rate hikes in June.
GateNews14h ago
