# 2026年比特币行情展望

#2026年比特币行情展望 💭 Just a heads-up: this time the Federal Reserve's big move is far from the kind of scenario in 2020 that could trigger a collective surge in the crypto market. Basically, it's just "giving the financial system a breath of fresh air."
📊 Be clear: liquidity "stabilization" and "liquidity injection" are completely different things. Yesterday, the Fed conducted an overnight repurchase operation, reportedly reaching a scale of $74.6 billion in a single day. The core goal is straightforward—address the short-term liquidity crunch in the banking system at year-end and prevent borrowi

Why is it not advisable to rush into shorting now? Let me analyze the market pattern.
Looking at ETH's 1-hour chart, the price just stabilized around 3200 and is still accelerating near 3288—this breakout bullish candle is a signal. After breaking through a key resistance, it’s normal to see an inertial surge higher. 3288 is far from the ceiling; the real resistance zone is between 3350 and 3400.
SOL's performance is even more extreme. A perfect 45-degree ascending channel, with the green Range Filter support line tightly holding the price at 137. There’s a major taboo in shorting here: never

#2026年比特币行情展望 Japan reports its first fiscal surplus in 28 years, and this is not just a good number—the underlying policy signals are even more intriguing.
A few days ago, Japan officially announced plans to achieve fiscal balance by 2026 and to simultaneously advance monetary policy tightening. This seems like a normal macroeconomic adjustment. But the key point is: at the same time, crypto assets are officially categorized as "national asset formation tools," accompanied by clear tax incentives (rumors suggest the tax rate could be significantly reduced, and losses could be used for deducti

#2026年比特币行情展望 Morgan Stanley has taken action—Bitcoin Trust S-1 filing has been submitted
Recently, I heard an interesting piece of news: Morgan Stanley has officially submitted the S-1 registration statement for a Bitcoin trust to regulators. This move by the Wall Street giant has caused a stir in the community.
Why is this worth paying attention to? Because it’s not just a minor addition. Morgan Stanley is launching a Bitcoin trust product aimed at high-net-worth clients, essentially paving an easier way for wealthy individuals to enter the market. Spot ETFs have already shown traditional fi

#2026年比特币行情展望 The Bitcoin options market remains hot as the new year begins, with traders betting real money that January will break the $100,000 psychological barrier.
Entering the first week of 2026, the market trend is clear—the bullish sentiment is growing stronger. Since early January, trading volume for Bitcoin call options with a $100,000 strike price and January expiration has surged significantly. The trading activity on a leading options platform has rapidly increased, with data showing that on January 5th, open interest for these options grew by approximately 420 Bitcoins, equivale

#2026年比特币行情展望 The two recent events are worth paying close attention to.
First, Federal Reserve officials collectively signaling that this year they will cut interest rates by over 100 basis points. What has this changed? It has altered the market pricing logic. Previously, the discussion was about whether to cut rates; now it’s about how much to cut. The liquidity environment is indeed shifting towards easing.
Second, the US banking sector officially includes crypto assets in its standard asset allocation recommendations, assigning a 4% allocation weight. This is very significant. Four perce

#2026年比特币行情展望 On-chain monitoring has just detected a noteworthy activity — the WLFI reserve address has made a significant move, clearing out $15.07 million worth of WBTC and converting it entirely into WETH. What is the underlying logic behind this?
From a data perspective, it’s quite interesting. WLFI initially built its WBTC position in early 2024 at an average price of $104,710. Now, it has chosen to take a loss of $1.978 million to rebalance, with the new WETH position averaging $3,260. On paper, it’s a loss, but what does this operation reflect?
The most direct phenomenon is a change i

A few days ago, we discussed the fifth golden cross of Bitcoin. Today, we continue with an in-depth analysis.
After reviewing charts from industry influencers, the focus is on Bollinger Bands and their derivative indicators %B and Bandwidth to interpret volatility cycles. The conclusion is quite interesting:
$BTCUSD is now approaching a near-perfect bottom phase.
From the 2025 high point (around 124,000) down to the current level, it has stabilized in the 84,000-88,000 range. The price is breaking through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pushing towards the upper band—this is a good sig

#2026年比特币行情展望 Use small accounts to achieve big profits? Let me tell you the ins and outs of this trick.
Coins like $RIVER and $BREV, honestly, the core idea is: amplify returns with contract leverage. But the prerequisite is that you must have a plan and not play recklessly. I've seen people turn 2000 into over a million, and others lose everything in a single bet—what's the difference? Discipline.
**Stage One: Small Money Snowball (300U to 1100U)**
Convert 2000 into 300U as starting capital. The most important thing at this stage is to find the rhythm—don't expect to hit it in one shot.
Us

#2026年比特币行情展望 January 7 Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Review and Recent Outlook
How has Bitcoin been performing recently?
Since the weekend, Bitcoin touched around 90,800 and formed a double top, then surged to around 94,800 before starting a correction. The midnight session once again formed a double pin at 94,500, followed by a pressure-driven pullback, with the lowest dip to 91,300 before stopping the decline and rebounding. The overall rhythm remains a pattern of repeated oscillations.
What is the macro outlook?
External environmental factors, international relations, and other elements have