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Layer2Arbitrageur
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Age 4 Yıl
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#ETH走势分析 $ETH
Late at night, he increased his position by 250,000 USD. This guy is just 5% away from liquidation—does he really want to hold on until the end, or does he truly believe Ethereum can save him?
From 21 million dollars evaporating to just a few cents left in the account.
At dawn, while others are sleeping, some are throwing money into the fire pit. There are only over 100,000 left in the account, and he transferred in 250,000 USDC, going all in on ETH long. Sounds crazy? This isn't the first time.
Since October 11, he has been continuously going long on Ethereum. When it droppe
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SolidityJestervip:
It's already gone cold, brother.
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I glanced at the #ETH走势分析 short-term chart; it seems to show a potential rebound at the 2-hour level. My personal plan is to wait for the price to reach around 2860 to see if there are any short opportunities. For reference only, not an investment advice.
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DataChiefvip:
I'm also waiting at this position of 2860, but I feel that the rebound strength might be weaker than expected.
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Market outbreak! The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates has soared to 76%, and this news has directly caused a stir in the global financial community. The most direct impact? BTC opened this morning and broke through the key defense line of 86,000 USD.
This drop is not just a simple technical adjustment. The 14 trillion yen carry trade funds accumulated by the Bank of Japan over the past decade are now crazily flowing back home due to rising interest rate expectations. The money that was originally directed toward high-yield overseas assets is now retreating at an astonish
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FarmHoppervip:
Wait, is it about the Bank of Japan again? We went through this last year, is history really going to repeat itself? I'm not so sure.
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#数字货币市场回调 12.2 Morning Observation: Be cautious of the rebound in BTC.
Looking at the four-hour chart, this rebound seems a bit weak. The trading volume has been shrinking, which is typical of a technical pullback in a bearish market, not a true trend reversal. The MACD is still hovering in the weak zone below the zero line; although the bearish strength shows some signs of fatigue, it is far from strengthening.
My judgment is: the Rebound space is very limited, the overall downward trend has not been broken, and after this wave of correction, it will mostly continue to go down.
Reference poin
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DegenGamblervip:
It's another weak rebound like this, and with the volume shrinking like this, it's really hopeless.

Damn, I'm going to have to dump my positions again; the rebound is just an opportunity to play people for suckers.

Shorting at 86800, betting it breaks 85, this time it should work.

Without corresponding volume, everything is just a paper tiger; we've reached the top.

Just follow the selling; as long as the downtrend isn't broken, continue lying in ambush.
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Let's talk about the market trends over the past few days.
After the interest rate cut in December, the Federal Reserve will most likely hit the pause button until February next year. During this time window, it is normal for the overall market atmosphere to be cautious. I estimate that there may be a rebound before and after the rate cut, but after that, we will have to continue to grind. What’s more concerning is Japan—if they really decide to raise interest rates, that would be the biggest uncertainty. If that happens, the period from December to January will be tough.
Looking at the ma
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PessimisticOraclevip:
The interest rate hike in Japan is really a bottleneck; the rebound has come, and we still have to acknowledge it.
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#数字货币市场回调 $ETH This wave of trends is once again using a familiar formula. At the beginning of each month, there always seems to be a downward movement for a few days, creating an atmosphere as if it’s going to collapse, but then on the fourth day, it directly pumps, catching people off guard. Now is the right time to get on board in batches, and December, as the year-end showdown, usually won't be too bad. Personally, I judge that before the end of the month, Ethereum has a chance to challenge above 4400, and $BTC and $XRP are also worth following for their correlated performance.
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ShibaOnTheRunvip:
Another trap? Panic at the beginning of the month and a party at the end, I've seen through this long ago, just afraid this time it really is different.
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#数字货币市场回调 I checked the four-hour chart, and although $BTC managed to pump out two bullish lines, this rebound looks very weak. The upper band and middle band of the Bollinger Bands have both turned downwards, and while the channel has opened up, it seems more like the bears are continuing to exert their strength. In short, this rebound is most likely just a technical pause during the downtrend, and the underlying weakness has not changed at all.
Switching to the one-hour chart makes it clearer—several consecutive Bullish lines have a pitifully small amplitude, and the volume is not keeping
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MoonRocketTeamvip:
Hmm, the Bollinger Bands are suppressing, this rebound is just a short positions' smokescreen, waiting for a second bottom.
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There's a recent development in the prediction market that is worth discussing.
Kalshi is preparing to move their prediction contracts to the Solana chain. In simple terms, it means tokenizing the traditional gameplay. In the future, when you place bets on Kalshi, you will directly enjoy the smooth experience of on-chain trading—anonymous, fast, and uncensored. This gameplay is actually very similar to what Polymarket is already doing.
From the perspective of tokens? SOL is stable this time. With a real application scenario on-chain, active addresses and locked amounts will both increase.
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ProveMyZKvip:
SOL has added another real-world scenario, and now the on-chain activity is going to da moon.
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From entering the circle at 22 to now at 32, I have basically lived off trading for the past ten years. My assets peaked at an 8-digit number between 2022 and 2023, and now stabilize at over 60 million. Daily life? It consists of watching the market, trading contracts, and occasionally laying out some Spot. When I go out to spend, I never look at price tags; this sense of freedom is pretty refreshing.
What I am most grateful for is that trading cryptocurrencies hardly involves arguing with people. There are no clients changing requirements, no partners fighting, and very few annoying matters.
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ser_ngmivip:
This guy is not wrong, the mindset really is the ceiling, technical charts are all虚的

Buying DOGE at 0.1 and holding until now? I just want to ask how you can sleep at night, haha

I did catch the long wick candle between 0-1 AM, but more often, I am the one who gets trapped

The logic of USDT and BTC reverse sounds simple, but in practice, it's easy to miss out

Recouping investment in a month is fine? Brother, your statement is a bit optimistic; I've seen coins that fell for half a year without recovering

Not looking at price tags when going out is indeed freedom, but this premise must be after surviving a few rounds of a bear market to count
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It's all tears when I think about it. The dumbest thing I did back then was turning short-term trading into a "malicious swiping game." During that time, I was crazy, making 8 trades a day, staring at the Candlestick Chart until my eyes turned green. And the result? The transaction Commission I spent was more than what I earned!
Later I realized: short-term trading relies on precise targeting, not mindless spraying. Now I take these few rules as my creed and stick them next to my monitor to remind myself every day.
**Only trade top cryptocurrencies with good liquidity**
Those obscure altco
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GasGasGasBrovip:
Wow, isn't this my bloody history? The fee killer.

Those days of going all in were really foolish, I still feel scared thinking about it.

Splitting 50,000 into five parts really saved my life, otherwise losing it all in one go would have meant game over.
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#数字货币市场回调 Is the market experiencing a pullback? Just right, I'm looking to buy the dip on $ETH.
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HalfBuddhaMoneyvip:
Pullback? I've been waiting for this moment, ETH is cheap again, it's really time to buy the dip.
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#数字货币市场回调 How do you see this pullback? I would like to hear everyone's judgment on the subsequent market trend.
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PonziWhisperervip:
It's time to be played for suckers again, and this wave I see the long positions haven't risen yet.
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Bitmine took action again last week - sweeping up 96,798 ETH in one go, pouring in 283 million dollars.
Now they hold 3.726 million ETH, with a market value of 10.52 billion dollars. Sounds impressive, right? But doing the math reveals that the average cost is stuck at the position of $3,960.
So what is the result? Directly lost 4.22 billion on the books, a drop of 28.6%.
This operation is definitely a "institution-level being trapped" scene. Even Tom Li, who has the most flamboyant hairstyle in the crypto world, couldn't escape this time and was pressed down on the mountaintop along with
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CoffeeNFTsvip:
4.22 billion in losses... institutions have to kneel too.
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Is the Bank of Japan really going to take serious action this time? The answer from the market is very direct: a 76% probability of interest rate hike in December, soaring to 90% in January. The statement from the central bank governor Kazuo Ueda is also quite straightforward—"We will adjust the policy interest rate as appropriate based on the economy, inflation, and financial market conditions." In other words: get ready for an interest rate hike. Look at the two-year government bond yield, which has already surged to its highest level since 2008; money is voting with its feet.
Why must it be
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#数字货币市场回调 The brothers who go long are about to hold on no longer. If the market doesn't pump up soon, the account will really hit the bottom. $BTC $ETH
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#数字货币市场回调 💯 The most valuable thing in the market has never been those flashy predictions.
📈 After doing cryptocurrency trading for so long, I've come to understand a principle more and more — instead of giving you vague analyses, it's better to directly break down the entire operational logic and accompany you throughout the verification process. In simple terms: say less meaningless things, and pay more attention to the results.
Stay steady, earn solidly. The market of $BTC won't deceive you, and your choice won't either. 👏
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MidsommarWalletvip:
The words are right, but there are few who can truly achieve it.
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#美联储恢复降息进程 At the beginning of this year, I was still a novice who couldn't even understand Candlestick charts. After three months in the circle, my initial capital of 1000U grew to 10000U. I didn't rely on insider information, nor was it pure luck, I just stubbornly stuck to a set of simple methods.
First move: Split the principal. Divide 1000U into 10 parts, and only move 100U each time. Increase your stake when you earn, and you still have bullets when you lose. Those who are cautious often live longer.
Second move: Keep an eye on the signal. When the 1-hour line shows MA7 crossing
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token_therapistvip:
Ha, this set of methodologies sounds very familiar... But I guess not many can really stick with it.

Wait, trading from 1 to 3 AM? Isn't that just being forced to stay up late trading? I've completely given up on that.

To be honest, cutting losses at 1% sounds harsh, but isn't that easy to get washed out? I've died on this before.

10 times in 3 months sounds great, but what happens after that? If the account continues at this pace, will it start to pull back...? It feels like no one talks about their losing experiences.

I respect the compound interest part; the snowball effect does exist, but I'm just afraid that a black swan event could wipe everything out.

It feels like the core message of the whole piece is—surviving is winning, just don't overtrade.
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Debt collection messages keep coming one after another, and my family is sighing in despair. What does that feel like? It's like falling into an invisible bottomless black hole, struggling desperately but unable to find anything to hold onto.
Last month, a buddy I've known for three years reached out to me. He only had 2000U left, and he looked like he had lost his soul, struggling to speak. He asked me one question: Can it be turned around?
I didn't talk to him about those illusions. I told him to pull up his previous liquidation records and go through them with me one by one. Aft
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SerumSquirtervip:
Indeed, stop loss is easy to talk about but hard to execute, yet it is crucial for survival.
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Staring at the BTC daily chart for a full thirty seconds, a question popped into my mind: Is this fall faster than the altcoins I bought last week? This morning, the news section was flooded with various private messages, all asking the same thing — "Where did this big dump come from?"
Every time I encounter such a baffling cliff-like fall, I always want to remind people: every drastic fluctuation in the market is definitely not without reason. Just like when your cat suddenly puffs up, there must be an invisible hand behind it causing trouble—this hand is called "capital flow" in the crypto w
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ContractBugHuntervip:
The US debt is draining liquidity, and the Fed is pouring cold water on things; there really is no way to cope with this wave... We should have anticipated that liquidity would be this tight, and now it's too late to regret it.
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#美SEC推动加密创新监管 The start of December is not very friendly, the crypto market faces another cold wave on Monday.
News from the Asian trading session: $BTC hit a low of below $86,000 during the session, with a daily decline of 6%. $ETH performed even worse, falling below the $2,800 mark, down over 7%. $SOL also did not escape, dropping 7.8%. The entire sector had almost no survivors.
Speaking of which, this volatility actually started to take shape back in October. At that time, the market was still immersed in the celebration of Bitcoin breaking the historical high of $126,000, and in a blin
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SelfSovereignStevevip:
Can 80,000 really hold? It feels like no one dares to catch a falling knife.
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