Dogecoin Price Prediction: As risk aversion increases, DOGE retraces with Bitcoin and Meme coins, with $0.137 becoming a key support level

Following the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision, the cryptocurrency market has shifted to a defensive stance. Traders generally reduce risk exposure, and Dogecoin (DOGE) has declined in tandem with Bitcoin and other meme coins. Although the 25 basis point rate cut met market expectations, policy divergence and inflation concerns have resurfaced, weakening the appeal of risk assets.

Under macro pressures, the high volatility characteristic of meme coins is further amplified. After Bitcoin fell below $90,000 over the weekend, market risk appetite markedly declined, and funds prioritized withdrawing from high-beta assets. There were no project-specific negative news for Dogecoin, but amid tightening liquidity and increased volatility, traders chose to actively reduce their holdings, putting downward pressure on prices.

From a technical perspective, DOGE experienced a classic capitulation decline. At 15:00 UTC on December 12, the key support level of $0.1407 was effectively broken, with trading volume spiking approximately 348%, indicating that the decline was mainly driven by forced liquidations rather than normal profit-taking. The price then quickly dropped to around $0.1372, with selling momentum clearly weakening.

After reaching the $0.1372 low, volume gradually declined, seller strength diminished, and the price rebounded to form a higher low, creating a short-term V-shaped reversal. This pattern typically appears at the end of panic selling, often accompanied by some funds stepping in at low levels.

The day’s market shows Dogecoin fell about 2.6%, with an intraday range of nearly 4.6%. Price repeatedly tested the $0.1372 area but was defended by buying interest each time, confirming that this level has become an important short-term support.

Looking ahead, $0.1372 is a key level for short-term trend judgment. If this support remains effective, DOGE is more likely to enter a consolidation phase; if the price reclaims $0.1407, the short-term technical condition may improve, with focus on the $0.1425 to $0.1440 range above. Conversely, if it falls below $0.1372, a move down toward the liquidity support near $0.1354 cannot be ruled out.

Overall, Dogecoin has transitioned from a rapid sell-off stage to a stabilization observation period. The next direction will depend on macro sentiment changes and the buyers’ ability to defend key support levels.