Dự đoán trên Polymarket rằng sau ngày ra mắt của ROBO, khả năng FDV vượt quá 200 triệu USD là 69%

Retail traders fare worse on prediction markets than sportsbooks

Prediction markets are exciting, but they’re not reliable wealth builders for retail users. Research by Citizens shows that retail prediction market users are losing more money than legal sports bettors, with the sharpest traders and market makers capturing returns on the other side of their

5个聪明钱账户共投入6.54万美元，认为美军会在五月前入境伊朗

在Polymarket上，5个账户共投资6.54万美元押注美军可能在五月前进入伊朗，当前概率为51%。特朗普提出停火计划，市场对美伊局势稍有缓和的预期。五角大楼已派约2000名伞兵前往中东，加强该地区美军部署。

Polymarket上"黄金3月底前跌至4300美元下方"概率降至16%，24小时下跌40%

3月25日，黄金价格大幅反弹，导致Polymarket上的相关事件概率显著下降，"3月底跌至4300美元下方"的概率降至16%，而"跌至4000美元下方"的概率降至4%。现货黄金价格为4570.41美元，涨幅2.15%。

5个聪明钱账户共投入6.54万美元，押注美军五月前进入伊朗

根据Gate News消息，3月25日，预测市场Polymarket上五个账户共投入6.54万美元押注美军是否会在五月前进入伊朗，当前概率为51%。特朗普寻求与伊朗停火，市场对此反应强烈。同时，五角大楼派遣约2000名伞兵前往中东。