Lucaa

$SPY - In some of my prior PAT Updates, I highlighted the breakdown below the high-timeframe support range marked in red, which had acted as a strong bounce zone since November of last year.
Because of this, I believe that breakdown has opened the door for a deeper short-term pullback toward the high-timeframe support range marked in green, sitting at $607, a level that previously acted as resistance and marked the top back in December 2024, leading to the early-2025 correction.
From here, I believe the downside risk is becoming more limited relative to the upside potential. I also think this

Avoid leverage.

The majority of my audience is ~33, so here’s a message to you.
Even though markets are currently moving lower, and headlines are filled with negative narratives pushed by mainstream media, I believe these are the moments that truly separate investors.
The ability to remain objective in times like this is one of the most important strengths you can have.
Over the past couple of months, I’ve been preparing you for a moment like this, consistently emphasizing diversification, maintaining a moderate cash allocation, and avoiding leverage. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know

The MVRV Z-Score is nearing the green range that has marked EVERY macro low for $BTC.
This is BULLISH!

It's been a while since I've seen so much liquidity on the upside for $BTC. 👀

The Fear and Greed Index is at the lowest levels in nearly 12 months.

The past two months mark the longest time spent in “Extreme Fear” since the bear market lows.
On the higher timeframes, I believe this is a good buying opportunity, one that will be obvious in hindsight, even though we are at risk of seeing more volatility on the short-term.

Liquidation Heatmap on $BTC:
There’s a TON of liquidity above sitting at $72K-$73K.
Bears are about to get SQUEEZED.

Liquidation Heatmap on $BTC:
There’s a TON of liquidity above sitting at $72K-$73K.

Liquidity Rotation 👀👀

$BTC - It looks like the leveraged longs around $68K have now been flushed, which I view as a healthy reset for the market, especially given the low-liquidity environment on a Sunday evening.
Generally, when this happens, I believe the following week tends to move in the opposite direction, as market makers first clear out the side that was positioned correctly before a reversal takes place.