TonyTheBull

Both Bitcoin, same Ichimoku settings, but major differences in the signals
Which one is telling the real story?

Is a Bitcoin/Gold capitulation candle loading?

Negative directional indicator pushes above 20 – last time was October 10

A perfected TD8 sell setup just appeared on the S&P500 monthly chart
This is the same exact signal that appeared right before the bottom in late 2022
Are we at or near a major top in the stock market?

If this is some type of line in the sand on the RSI, what do you think comes next?

This is what a channel looks like when it’s drawn with bias

Looks like the Dollar may make a strong contrarian move soon
Remind them why you’re so almighty

The 50/100 SMA death cross is cascading through low timeframes
First the daily back in November, then the 2-day in late December
Waiting for the 3-day confirmation has historically meant reacting after the bulk of the downside has already completed
Caution is warranted here as the 3-day cross approaches
The 2-day has historically produced -50 to -62% drawdowns post-cross

The retest of all retests?

It can’t be this obvious, can it?

Bait
Now I wait

Litecoin versus Iranian Rial

Bitcoin versus Iranian Rial

Bitcoin’s weekly Kumo (cloud) just twisted red
Bitcoin typically bottoms AFTER the bearish Kumo twist time-wise at ~-68% below the twist itself
The Ichimoku projects the Kumo 26 periods ahead — this means we are over 150 days away from price reaching the twist time-wise
Roughly five months minimum is likely required for this to properly unwind. Price target would be $33K if the same -68% below the twist happened again for a total 73% bear market drawdown
Bitcoin bear markets have shown gradual drawdown compression:
−93% → −86% → −84% → −77%
A simple ~5% linear decay from the last cycle points

October 2023 “A Flight to Quality”
$1923 & $22 / oz

Same average, different environment