Murphychen

The cycle is speeding up! If you're still using past experience to "predict" that this bear market bottom will occur in Q4 2026, then the metaphysical indicator based on the "4-year bull-bear cycle theory" — the "Three Lines Convergence" — tells us: the cycle is accelerating. As of February 5th, the MVRV hit a new low of 1.13 in this cycle. Compared to the same points in the 2016 cycle (blue line) and the 2020 cycle (green line), it was ahead by 2 months and 4 months respectively. At this pace, it's very likely that the major bottom of this cycle will appear earlier, possibly in Q2 or Q3. As f

Glassnode uses the cumsum formula to calculate the weighted average BTC price at moments when ETF net inflows occur. This depicts a very "behavioral" institutional cost anchor. Currently, BlackRock's average cost is: $83,696; Fidelity's average cost is: $73,752; now BTC has fallen below BlackRock's average cost, impacting Fidelity investors' psychology. No wonder that during November and December, BlackRock investors were the main bears, while in January, Fidelity became the main sellers. If BlackRock mainly consists of institutional investors, and Fidelity has more retail investors, plus MSTR

Watching too many red and green candlesticks can be tiring. Occasionally lifting your head, you realize: in time, there is not only ups and downs, but also azure seas and blue skies, beach beauties…

The day has finally arrived…
When I opened my almost seasoned stock account,
to see if there are any stocks that haven't risen yet and I can buy a little for protection,
I was surprised to find an ETF that I didn't clear out completely at the beginning,
by accident, I have held it for 460 days, and it’s still up 50%,
I was instantly overwhelmed with tears of excitement…
During these 460 days, I devoted myself wholeheartedly to the pursuit of Web3,
but I missed the true love that was right in front of me.
Planting flowers intentionally but they don’t bloom; planting willow trees unintentionally

Forecast Market: On Polymarket, the probability of BTC reaching $95,000 by January 2026 is 64%;
Options Market: Over the past 30 days, in the $100,000 tier, the funds buying call options have clearly overwhelmed the sellers, with real money paying premiums for "BTC breaking $100,000";
Whether it is $95,000 or $100,000, both are above the current BTC price, which also reflects the true sentiment of the current market.
If it were you, which side would you take — can $100,000 be reached or not?

2025, a successful conclusion!
May all the regrets of the past be the prologue to future surprises.
2026, let's head to the mountains and seas together, see you at the peak!
Friends, Happy New Year 🫶

The 4-hour K line has been suppressed by the standard line for 4 consecutive candles. If it cannot return and stand above $112,768, then the short-term outlook remains bearish.
According to the algorithm calculation, the most likely positions to be hit below are: 1, $109,861 2, $108,405. This is based on the retracement calculated from the downward candlestick on 10/14 at 12:00, indicating that the indicator believes the retracement is not yet in place unless there are external factors to change it.

Only after getting on the boat did I realize that the so-called "high-speed internet" at $20 per day, limited to one device, actually takes 5 minutes just to send a picture... Oh my god!
It feels like getting on a pirate ship. People like us, who can't live without the internet and are cryptocurrency bloggers, really shouldn't choose this kind of travel method in the future...
I can only barely use my phone to tweet these days😭😭😭

My friends in Qingdao are too extravagant... They brought me a bowl of seafood noodles early in the morning. I see this bowl is almost as big as the table, and the key point is that it’s all seafood with no noodles in it! 🤣🤣🤣

Only when you lose your health do you understand how important it is...
The doctor said it was caused by long periods of sitting, lack of movement, staying up late, and other bad habits.
I might need to take a few days off, I'm really sorry, everyone!
Trading cryptocurrencies is not the only thing in life.
May you all be well! I will be back soon, wait for me...