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DeFi^2
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Age 2.5 Yıl
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Here at $86k, this is the first time in a while that BTC feels very nice to me to add for long-term accumulation.
BTC trades as a high-beta risk asset on shorter timeframes when equities are weak, but long-term it continues to decouple upward as the world’s choice of digital gold with increasingly scarce supply. Don’t make the mistake of confusing the two investment timeframes when deciding to stack.
BTC0.42%
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Orderly is still so cheap that its staking APR from just a portion of its fee revenue is consistently over 40% without using any token emissions or points to incentivize trading volume. People have become so accustomed to assuming that any high staking yields are padded by token emissions or points farming that they often just glance over it- but in this case it's literally doing $17 Bil a month in volume organically and un-incentivized. The project also just passed a governance vote to begin using up to 60% of fee revenue to perform open market buybacks, which starts this month.
Honestly ther
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Quick followup discussion to my last post, on Trump related coins in general.
It shouldn’t be surprising to anyone that holders of large locked WLFI allocations would want to sell even at a large discount. The fact is that all Trump related coins suffer from the same massive existential issue. When Biden withdrew and ended the chance of another term, the Boden memecoin, which peaked around $1 billion market cap, sold off an incredible 99.9% to just $1M market cap, essentially worthless. In a similar fashion, with each passing day we approach the end of Trump’s final term, which we’re likely to
TRUMP0.58%
WLFI-2.17%
MELANIA-1.42%
AAVE0.64%
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Crypto projects spent hundreds of millions trying to design proof of humanity, when in reality the market wanted proof of AI all along.
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Gm to all the research enjoyers out there
GM-0.65%
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Earlier this cycle, AI in crypto was far too new to focus on real utility, so vaporware AI projects prevailed. This time around, the climate feels more right for the market to solidify the more legitimate projects as future bluechips- likely infra and/or a prevailing AI L1.
INFRA-5.74%
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$2 Bil Saylor buy incoming soon.
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Market faded this move for some reason, but it actually seems like pretty significant news for the coins no longer being classified as securities? Short term implication is likely imminent Robinhood re-listing, longer term includes improved chances of new ETF approvals.
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Initial thesis post about TIA this week was at $6.11, price then proceeds to send 25% higher, with all buyers massively in profit all week. You wouldn't be able to tell from the way influencers are posting "gotchas", but even now the price is still 1% higher than my first post.
I stand by my sentiment that the strength here was great, and had deep similarities to the Aptos squeeze at sentiment lows in Jan 2023, which was also a massively hated rally. TIA easily could have and still can squeeze far higher than people expect.
Searching for outsized strength is a strategy that can profit in both
APT-0.1%
EVERY-2.79%
WORK-55.06%
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A large subset of alts on my radar resemble the first chart here right now, while an entire other subset resemble the second.
With the entire alt market practically screaming to put in a bottom right now, it may be time to seek out all the 'Chart 1s' and help them play catch up.
RADAR3.15%
CATCH13.05%
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After a nearly 80% drop from highs, Celestia has finally been showing some strength again.
Orderly provides permissionless liquidity for onchain Perps markets, a sector that will likely always have real and significant demand. And at the moment it's already handling a significant share of the market's volume, with over half a billion in volume a day and growing:
The need for a data availability layer here makes sense after realizing that safe / permissionless liquidity is by far one of the biggest hurdles in making onchain perps markets usable. So having a middle layer that can provide shared
TIA4.34%
SAFE1.24%
CORE16.08%
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Unsurprisingly, when we see moves like today's get faded, it is almost entirely driven by high leverage perps traders, not underlying spot being sold:
NOT2.2%
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Traders have gotten far too comfortable shorting every small move up lately. Works until it doesn’t, and usually when it stops working it does so in a spectacular fashion. Recommend not trying to fade when that moment comes.
EVERY-2.79%
NOT2.2%
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