CyrilDeFi

Silver moving first doesn’t mean Bitcoin lost.
> It usually means Bitcoin hasn’t started yet.
Hard assets warm up the cycle.
High-volatility assets finish it.
> The real question is:
What happens when this rotation reaches crypto? 👀

$BTC looks weak short-term, strong long-term.
Rejected from $95k–$100k supply (expected).
Pulling back into prior breakout support.
No major weekly structure broken.
Key detail:
Low volume on the drop = correction, not panic.

$ETH - update
ETH isn’t dead. It’s stuck.
Rejected from $3k–$3.2k resistance.
Now chopping inside a high-volume demand zone.
Sell-offs come with volume → forced selling, not conviction.
When ETH stabilizes:
→ Alt sentiment improves
→ Risk appetite returns
ETH lags. Then it leads.

$BTC.D - update
This is why alts feel like hell.
BTC.D bounced hard from support.
As long as dominance holds, alts bleed.
Every BTC dip is capital rotating into BTC, not alts.
Alt season isn't as close
It starts when BTC stops being the safest trade.

$TAO (Weekly) breakdown 👇
$TAO is doing the classic “pain now, payoff later” setup.
What the chart is saying:
Price is sitting around $226 (weekly close $226.5).
We’re back inside a major demand/support zone ($200–$260) the area buyers defended before.
Structure is basically range-bound
If you love TAO updates follow me @cyrilxbt and turn on nofits 🛎️

$ETH
What it’s telling you: ETH is holding the support zone ($2.7K–$3.0K) but it’s still below the prior distribution area (where it keeps getting sold on rallies).
Support: $2.7K–$3.0K
Next resistance: ~$3.3K–$3.6K (where rallies have been failing)
Expectation: ETH needs a weekly reclaim above that next resistance band to start looking like “ETH season.”
Until then, it’s basically survive the base-building phase.

Important areas whale have placed large orders for $BTC
bulls are defending the 86k area
bears have a strong sell order for $7M around 89k
What do you think is gonna happen next?

S&P 500 keeps making highs because $1.5T/year flows in automatically via pensions, 401(k)s, buybacks, and passive ETFs.
Bitcoin doesn’t have forced buyers.
On top of that:
• Stocks benefit first from rate-cut expectations
• BTC lags during tight liquidity + tax-loss harvesting
• Crypto moves after liquidity actually hits the system
Same macro. Different timing

$BTC
Structure: This is still a macro uptrend, but BTC is clearly stuck under that supply zone near $95K–$100K
What price is doing: it dropped, then started compressing (that little wedge/flag look). That usually means the next move is coming — but direction depends on which level flips.
Key levels:
Support: ~$85K–$88K area (where it’s trying to base)
Resistance: ~$95K–$100K (big “sell wall / supply” zone)

$TAO update
TAO has been range-bound for months every time it dips into this lower zone, buyers show up… but it hasn’t had the strength to reclaim the upper supply zone ($650–$750 area).
What I’m watching next:
Bull case: holds this support zone → quick relief bounce back into the mid-range (where most people get chopped).
Bear case: loses the box cleanly on weekly → it can “air pocket” lower fast because the range breaks.

>> luffy
> new charater how do you like my new pfp chat?

🚨 THE SAD REALITY OF ALTSEASON NO ONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT. KEEP READING 👇
They’re bleeding because this part of the cycle is designed to break you.
Here’s what’s actually happening 🧵⬇️
1) Bitcoin dominance is quietly doing its job
When BTC dominance rises, capital concentrates
Money doesn’t leave crypto it hides in Bitcoin.
That means:
• BTC becomes the safety trade
• Alts turn into liquidity sources
• Risk compresses before it expands
This happens every single cycle before alt strength returns.
2) Tax-loss harvesting is crushing alts right now
Crypto is one of the only major asset classes