The Dec 26, 2025 "Mega Expiry"
This Friday marks the end of the month, quarter, and year for the derivatives market. Because three different cycles are closing at once, the volume is unprecedented.
Total Value: Approximately $27.5 billion in notional value ($23.7B in Bitcoin and $3.8B in Ethereum) is set to expire.
Bitcoin "Max Pain" Point: Roughly $96,000.
Ethereum "Max Pain" Point: Roughly $3,100.
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Ethereum (ETH): Trading near the $3,000 level. While it remains the leader for DeFi and NFTs, it has faced selling pressure alongside the broader market as investors shift toward lower-risk assets for the year-end.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Currently consolidating under the $90,000 psychological barrier. It saw significant volatility this week due to nearly $950 million in weekly outflows from digital asset investment products, the first major reversal after a month-long streak of inflows.
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Bitcoin will crash to $70000
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BANK OF JAPAN INTEREST RATE DECISION IS COMING TOMORROW.
The market expects 98.4% odds of a 25 bps rate hike.
Here’s what happened when BOJ raised rates in the past.
July 31, 2024:
BOJ raised rates to 0.25%
Bitcoin dropped 26% in 8 days
Jan 24, 2025:
BOJ raised rates to 0.50%
Bitcoin dropped 25% in 20 days
Now BOJ is expected to raise rates to 0.75%, the highest level since 1995.
Just like the past, markets could see some downside around the decision.
But if you look at the chart, every BOJ driven BTC dump was followed by a strong recovery and new ATH.

Back in 2020, Aave changed DeFi forever by introducing flash loans, no collateral, executed in a single transaction.$AAVE ‌

Taiwan’s Ministry of Justice reveals the country now holds 210.45 BTC in seized assets.

The Bank of England cuts its policy rate by 25 bps to 3.75% as of Dec 18, down from 4.00%, in line with market expectations.
The move follows the BoE’s earlier pause in its rate-cut cycle that began in Aug 2024.

U.S. inflation eases more than expected in November
CPI rises 2.7% YoY, below the 3.1% forecast, signaling slower price pressures.

With an estimated net worth of $600B, Elon Musk could theoretically buy ~32% of all Bitcoin at current prices. $DOGE ‌$BTC ‌

Binance is weighing options to relaunch Binance US, including a potential recapitalization that could reduce CZ’s ownership stake.
CZ’s control has been a key hurdle for expansion in several U.S. states. Talks are ongoing, with no final decision yet.

India’s Competition Commission (CCI) has approved Coinbase’s acquisition of a minority stake in Indian crypto platform CoinDCX
Move marks a significant step forward for crypto investment and collaboration in the Indian market.

DTCC, the backbone of U.S. securities clearing, will start issuing tokenized U.S. Treasuries on the Canton Network, marking its first move to bring assets from core market infrastructure on-chain.

MARKET ALERT: Japan is set to hike rates by 75 bps today at 10:00 PM ET.
Odds are now 98%
The move could be bearish for markets!
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