Crypto_Xincheng

12.26
BTC
Yesterday's Christmas was peaceful. The holiday itself is a period of very low liquidity because any slight movement in the current market can trigger fluctuations. The current order book hasn't changed much and is still oscillating to the right. Next, we should pay attention to the foreign funds' planning and allocation ratios around New Year's Day and the start of the new year abroad to see their impact on the market. The current approach remains the same: as long as the 84700 level is not broken, there is a chance to move upward. However, trading around this level, whether long or

12.25
Yesterday, the BTC spot ETF saw another outflow of over 3,000 Bitcoins, with nearly 1,800 BTC flowing out from BlackRock's investors. It indicates that traditional investors' interest in cryptocurrencies is gradually decreasing.
Although Bitcoin has not yet surged to $90,000, there has been no significant decline. For now, investor sentiment remains relatively stable, which is very important during periods of low liquidity. As Christmas approaches, both turnover rate and trading volume are declining, which is also very normal.
BTC
Bitcoin continues to trade sideways at the moment, with n

12.24
Yesterday, the GDP growth of the United States for the third quarter was announced to be quite good, far exceeding expectations, but the impact on risk markets was very weak. This is mainly because the market is worried that a too-good economy will hinder the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates in 2026. This concern prompted Trump to give a speech, with the essence of his message being a call to trust the Federal Reserve Chairman to lower interest rates. Trump feels powerless regarding Powell, and all that's left is to wait for the end of Powell's term.
On Christmas Eve t

12.23
BTC
The curse of the 90,000 mark for BTC has not been lifted yet. Over the past 8 days, BTC has tried or broken through the $90,000 mark 6 times, only to be pushed back down. However, I still believe that in the upcoming Christmas market this week, as long as the US stock market maintains an upward trend, the strategy I shared yesterday is that as long as the position at 87,800 does not break, we can still look upward. Yesterday, it perfectly retraced to this position for a rebound, and then continued to drop to this level again. Furthermore, the intraday strategy is that as long as this

$BTC is about to big pump
This week, the main focus is on the Christmas market trend. The Christmas market trend is not just a simple seasonal statistical phenomenon, but more like a barometer of market risk appetite.
$BTC Daily line three needles probing the bottom, bottoming signal
4h, 2h, 1h are all in the MACD bullish area.
So, in multi-timeframe resonance, as long as it doesn't break 87800, pay attention to the big bullish candle, and focus on the resistance at 93900-100000.

12.22
The Christmas market trend will begin this week. From historical experience, the Christmas market trend is not just a simple seasonal statistical phenomenon, but more like a barometer of market risk appetite. If the market can rise as expected from after Christmas to around New Year, it usually means that investors are still willing to allocate risk assets even in the absence of new macro stimulus, confirming risk appetite at the end of the year and laying the emotional foundation for asset pricing in the new year. Conversely, it often indicates that risk appetite has not recovered, maki

The Japanese rate hike has been implemented, and next is the gradual adjustment… better than expected
Many people were saying there would be a big drop before the rate cut, but blindly sticking to old methods in investing is a big taboo😎
Following that, potential positives for January:
① Crypto Structural Bill
② Crypto Innovation Exemption Bill
③ Trump announces the Fed Chair candidate
So do you think this year can bring us a prosperous year?
#成长值抽奖赢金条和精美周边 #市场触底了吗？

12.19
BTC
The current focus of the entire network is on Japan's interest rate decision, which is expected to be announced between 11:00-11:30 by the Bank of Japan. The market remains volatile at this level, with a quick dip yesterday that returned to our 84,700 level without breaking it. In summary, the short-term trend is mainly sideways, as it is a dead time. Additionally, the low liquidity around Christmas and the weekend will be similar before and after Christmas. Bitcoin hasn't fallen much, but many altcoins are gradually declining. Therefore, the current strategy for Bitcoin remains unch

12.18
BTC
Last night, the US stock market opened with BTC influenced by the US stocks, suddenly surging. However, the strong US stocks started to decline within five minutes. Compared to that, Bitcoin held up relatively well, persisting for over half an hour before starting to fall. Currently, the market's focus remains on US monetary policy, Thursday's CPI data, and Friday's Japanese interest rate hike. The market is mainly in a short-term state of confusion due to liquidity shortages. There are no obvious negative signals, but investors are hypersensitive to any minor movements. On one hand,

12.17
Yesterday, the US November employment data was released. The unemployment rate surged significantly to 4.6%, higher than expectations and the previous value. Non-farm employment increased by 64,000 jobs, surpassing the expected 50,000. Additionally, the employment figures for August and September were revised downward, with September's non-farm employment now at 108,000 after the revision. Detailed data shows that although employment numbers fluctuate, a marginal slowdown has already begun, with a noticeable weakening in employment growth.
BTC
This week has seen quite a few news developm

12.13
BTC
Yesterday’s sharp decline in US stocks and tech stocks dragged Bitcoin down. The main reasons are still poor liquidity and low investor sentiment. Therefore, if liquidity does not improve or if there are positive stimuli for the cryptocurrency sector, sentiment-driven movements will be relatively difficult. Starting next week, more macroeconomic data will be released, especially unemployment rate data, which is currently the focus. If the unemployment rate continues to rise and the job market weakens further, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in January re

12.12
After the FOMC meeting, the market briefly experienced a positive landing, not to mention that Powell's speech and the dot plot were not as dovish as investors had imagined. Overall risk markets showed some emotional pullback, after all, we will soon face a large amount of data and the potential for Japan's interest rate hike. Both parties agree to officially include crypto assets into the US retirement system. Once the SEC and the Department of Labor revise the rules as requested in the letter, the spot ETFs of $BTC and $ETH will naturally become compliant assets for 401(k). Long-term

12.11
The early morning interest rate decision was announced, with a 25BP cut in line with market expectations. Here are three key points from the Federal Reserve's announcement:
1. The statement included a sentence: “If there are risks that hinder the achievement of the target, be prepared to adjust monetary policy at any time.” This is considered a dovish forward guidance, implying that as long as inflation approaches the 2% target or if the employment market continues to cool and the unemployment rate increases, it will trigger monetary policy adjustments.
2. The Fed announced a short-term

12.10
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 3 AM on the 11th will most likely result in a 25bp rate cut. The key focus will be on the dot plot and Powell's speech.
25bp rate cut: 88%
No rate cut: 11%
50bp rate cut: 1%
The biggest news yesterday was that the US agreed to sell Nvidia's H200 to China. For the market, this signals a continuation of the honeymoon period between the two countries, and there's no need to worry too much about US-China trade issues for now. Additionally, Trump can still impose a 25% tariff. Besides, the increase in job vacancies shows that the US economy may

Holding SOL in this round has cost me at least $1 million. Looking back, it really feels helpless...
Yesterday morning I opened a coin-margined long position, but when I woke up in the morning I saw a "door" chart pattern... Forget it, I won't talk about it 😭
From the weekly chart level, we've reached the supply zone, which is also the neckline of this wave. But from a broader perspective, the adjustment still isn't in place yet. SOL once rose thanks to MEME tokens, but now the lack of liquidity and market funds in the secondary market has caused MEMEs to lose liquidity, so naturally SOL's ad

12.9
BTC
From the perspective of macro market sentiment, things are still acceptable, with no major pessimism. The rest will depend on the interest rate meeting in the early hours of Thursday. Looking at the market heatmap and the inflow of on-chain funds, it is evident that traditional crypto market funds are gradually drying up, and we still rely on traditional financial institutions. Liquidity in the secondary market is very weak, leading to a gradual narrowing of price fluctuations and a need for directional choice. As mentioned in the past two days, any immediate rebound will not be stron

12.8
December 11
The Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision and Summary of Economic Projections.
BTC
Market sentiment has been relatively stable these past few days; at least there hasn't been a crash during the lowest liquidity period. Currently, investors are most concerned about the Fed's monetary policy on December 11. A rate cut in December is highly probable, and even Powell may not be able to stop it. However, the dot plot and Powell's speech remain points of concern. The market is not much different from last week, and there is no negative data; the expectation