$GOLD has probably one of the best looking charts out there.
Breakout from the bullish pennant and now the retest of breakout trendline.
As beautiful this chart looks, it's also a sign of worry.
Gold showing strength means the market still thinks "worst isn't over".

This is one scenario I'm expecting for $BTC in December.
BOJ rate decision will happen in a week, and BTC could see a rally before that.
If rate hike happens, Bitcoin will see a drop below $80K while RSI will make a higher high.
This'll be a classic bullish divergence which also played out in Q1 2025.

Japan is expected to do a rate hike this month.
Since 2024, BOJ has raised the interest rates thrice.
March 2024: This marked the local top for Bitcoin
July 2024: This dumped Bitcoin below $50K
Jan 2025: This marked the local top for Bitcoin.
Right now, BTC is already down 30%+ from its ATH.
I'm expecting something like the July 2024 scenario, if BOJ cut rates.
Maybe a sharp correction below $80K to capitulate before a relief rally towards $100K.

Alts/BTC tried to end the 4-year downtrend but failed.
But MACD is indicating that momentum is shifting towards alts.
I'll wait for a breakout above the trendline before accumulating some spot plays.

This chart is single-handedly bringing the entire crypto market down.
Japan 10-year bond yield is now at its highest level since 2008.
BOJ is about to do a rate hike at the next meeting, which will make things worse.
Cheap borrowing will be over and people will sell their assets to repay the debt.
Crypto is the most liquid asset, so it's dumping the most.
I think we could soon the impact on other assets too.

Crypto MCap is back above $3T.
➡️ QT ending tomorrow
➡️ Rate cut odds at 86%
➡️ Coinbase premium positive
➡️ Treasury liquidity injection has started
I think Crypto MCap could rally 15%-20% from here before any major pullback.

$ETH ICO whales are waking up now.
A whale who bought 40,000 $ETH in 2015 has moved his entire stash to a new wallet.
He bought all of them for just $13K which is now worth $120 million.
The guy literally went from working at McDonald's to owning a yatch.

Bitcoin dominance is now at the complacency phase.
I think maybe one pump before the next crash is highly likely.

The Bitcoin OG who shorted before Trump tariffs has opened a $ETH short position.
Notional value: $15 million
Leverage: 5x
Liquidation: $5,056

This is the real level Bitcoin MUST defeat before the next ATH and almost nobody is talking about it.
When you look at the BTC cost-basis heatmap, the story becomes very clear:
Bitcoin is now sitting below two heavy supply clusters created by recent top buyers.
And until price breaks above these zones, momentum will remain slow and choppy.
Here’s what the chart actually tells us:
• A huge amount of BTC was accumulated between $93K–$96K
• Another major block of supply sits between $100K–$108K
• These zones are densely packed with recent buyers
• When BTC fell sharply in November, all of these

$BTC market structure has changed for the first time since the October crash.
This week, 2 different things have happened.
BTC didn't make a new weekly high on Monday/Tuesday.
Institutions selling exactly after US market open didn't happen.
This indicates that max pain is in, and the recovery could last long.

BitMine is buying more $ETH.
Just today, it has bought 14,618 $ETH worth $44.34 million.
This week, BitMine also reported that it has $800M on its balance sheet.
I think their buying power alone could push ETH towards $3,400-$3,600 level.

Stablecoins are the backbone of crypto’s next big wave.
But most don’t share the yield, they just collect it.
That’s where @falconfinance flips the script: with USDf, they give you the collateral, and you get the yield.
USDf has a $2.08B market cap, is over-collateralized (~110%), and even backs itself with a $10M insurance fund.
Their token $FF sits around $313M cap, and there’s no unlock until late 2026, which shows they’re in for the long haul.
If stablecoins hit the $1T+ level by 2030 like many expect, protocols that share yield instead of hoarding it will stand out.
FalconFinance could b

$BTC tapped its fair value gap and is now showing a strong bounce back.
Now, I'm looking for a weekly close above $93K level for bulls to be back in control.
I still think BTC could rally towards $102K-$105K in December.

History is repeating itself again.
$ETH

$BTC is now at the lower liquidity band.
This indicates how much Bitcoin is undervalued, compared to Global liquidity.
If BTC goes below this lower band, this'll be the first time since FTX crash.