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God gives His hardest battles to His strongest warriors.
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The Fed Is Quietly Re-Inflating Markets
What the Fed’s T bill buying in 2026 really means
Most people watch rates, CPI, and FOMC headlines. The real moves rarely show up there. Liquidity often shifts in silence, long before anyone screams "pivot".
The Fed ending QT was the loud part.
The bill buying in 2026 is the part the market is sleeping on.
Here is the real picture.
QT is done. Balance sheet is no longer shrinking.
QT officially ended on December 1, 2025.
No more runoff eating liquidity. No more passive tightening.
What this means in practice:
- Treasuries that mature are rolled over inst
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Made a few shekels on Polymarket today. Had “Max no to champion” from after Vegas and “Lando yes.” Max was the underdog on the market, felt like people were massively overvaluing him.
Lando basically had one job: finish top 3–4. Ferrari was driving a tractor, not an F1 car, but credit to Charles for making Lando sweat for a few laps (Ki ki ki rah sweat sweat). The only real threat was Osama bin Russell. Without a DNF, it was a pretty “easy” bet.
And yeah, Max is the best driver alive — no second best, probably won’t be for years. If anyone else has a title shot it’s Charles, but Ferrari needs
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praise our lord savior
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Some call it luck, but I prefer sixth sense — or just my balls tingling. Took a 24h break from charts, came back and shorted right before the wick (added more on the wick up), then flipped long near the bottom because the fartcoin indicator never misses. Closing it out slowly.
FARTCOIN-2.67%
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what it really means to be a delusional bull while every single signal is screaming “this is not the moment for max lev long swings” and you still send it.
Machi keeps trying. Honestly, I’m rooting for him. But going from 45M+ to –19M tells you everything about being the bull.
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If I flipped the trajectory from revenue < vibes and just swapped my HYPE for fartcoin on 22.11, I’d have 100% more money right now.
hot air rises
HYPE-2.26%
FARTCOIN-2.67%
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push it to 1M and 200 legendary packs.
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HYPE PA looks like instead of DAT buying 300M, they’re the first DAT to dump 300M straight on our heads.
HYPE-2.26%
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$hype PA is wild
HYPE-2.26%
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I am stupid.
I had an amazing week. Sharp when I needed to be, flipped longs to shorts late Sunday literally minutes before the flush. Order book looked bad for hours, and while part of me expected a Monday pump then flush, bulls were clearly losing. I flipped. Checked X. Got confirmation from a few traders. Felt dialed in.
And then it printed.
Hard.
The kind of green PnL that makes your heart forget basic math.
(tbh I even turned off the numbers so I wouldn’t get emotional)
My first thought: we’re heading into 80–82 for a clean double bottom. Instead we bounced off 86, then 84. I held shorts
ORDER0.31%
BAD3.16%
ME-0.62%
PUMP4.07%
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I’m deep into Polymarket lately, followed a ton of accounts, and today ten of them posted the exact same “Google insider” slop. Zero effort. Just copy-paste engagement farming dressed up as “alpha.”
Out of a hundred accounts, maybe three to five actually post real signals in real time. The rest is CT-grade noise. Last time someone’s thread made me money was Q2 on HyperEVM when .hl nerds were actually digging for EV.
Another thing nobody mentions: wallet tracking. In illiquid markets you’ll eventually get wrecked by malicious players who know you’re watching and will happily exploit you, same w
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reading timeline $ZEC and $MON close to bottom, trying to long
ZEC19.04%
MON5.38%
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Shoutout to myself for leveling up. I had a tiny long bias yesterday, wanted upside, even had clean entries… but everything felt off. Old greedy me kept whispering “what if,” but the charts were screaming “stop being stupid.” So I flipped short like 5–10 minutes before everything nuked.
If I acted faster I would’ve locked more profit, sure, but I’m still proud I listened to my gut and my one functioning brain cell. Head down, ego muted, taking whatever the market gives.
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machi longing $eth like there is no tomorrow
ETH1.92%
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What the Yen Whispered
The yen carry trade has been the quiet engine behind global risk appetite for years. Cheap yen funded everything: equities, EM debt, and yes, crypto. As long as Japan kept rates near zero and USDJPY drifted higher, the trade was automatic. Borrow cheap, buy whatever moves, pocket the spread.
That world is changing. The Bank of Japan already ended negative rates and started tapering. It hasn’t delivered a shock hike, but it has signaled the possibility of another move in December. That alone is enough to shift how global funding behaves. The yen didn’t explode higher thro
BTC0.09%
ETH1.92%
SOL0.32%
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