GateUser-1bb63f02

Periods where commercials were long (red) and large speculators were short (blue): Note the magnitude of the position sizing is relatively tame; so this may have to be taken with a grain of salt--- though positive nonetheless. One other thing that's notable is COT positioning

Men in their 20s chose to grind 1000s of hours learning / trading crypto--- scheming for generational wealth, only to bleed PNL for months on end. Meanwhile, our girlfriends full-stacked their favourite clothing brands and outperformed everyone. Something to think about.

$BTC Ok it wouldn't be fair to distribute this hopium without highlighting glaring differences between these two periods: 1. The obvious higher (unswept) lows this time around. We all know this. What I want to focus on this time is the follow: 2. Indices were also undergoing

Y'all are cracked

$INTC Three most dangerous words in trading: "It already pumped"

$SPX $SPY Many got faked out by that nonsense close at year-end... Failed Santa Clause Rally my ass.

Observing

$BTC Nothing has changed. Still just tracking April analog--- now two successful defences by daily trend since the previous update. Exits up and out of this range next week if the analog is right. Daily close below and you know this time is different--- simple.

Thank you

$TSLA

Simple piece of advice: Quit looking at the $VIX chart and trying to derive any intelligent trading insights. Instead, you should be looking at VIX futures (TradingView: $SVIX). Has helped me fade several instances where indices have that "roll over" look over past few months.

Message to all perp traders--- stop it

$SPX $DXY US Exceptionalism

$SPX $DXY US Exceptionalism may be on the verge of taking another leg higher here--- Big news day tomorrow (jobs, tariffs, etc.) likely decides if it's ready or not.

$DXY Similar vibes as the original post--- potential higher low now possibly being put in. A break of 100 would confirm it.

Timeline got ahead of themselves at the highs two days ago, no doubt about it. However, I'm surprised this hasn't inflected back up given the 5k move down... I don't believe it is typically in its nature to diverge like this.

Stubbornly holding onto positions despite the call playing out... That is not rational. Giving trend a chance to hold up--- it did such a good job on the way down.

Not today bankers