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Recently, Bitcoin's daily chart has been relatively weak, with prices continuously retracing, forming a clear downtrend. It now seems to be in a pit, in a low-range consolidation phase. On the hourly chart, the price repeatedly tests the important level around 90,000: when it falls below, buying support lifts it up (support is effective); when it bounces up, it is quickly pushed down again (upward pressure is evident). This creates a tug-of-war situation.
The market is in a "post-decline consolidation period," with bulls and bears fighting around 90,000. In the short term, it may continue to f
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Federal Reserve Rate Storm! 87% Super High Probability of Holding Steady, Is the Market's Last Defense Under Threat?
The January Federal Reserve rate decision reveals a super signal—87% chance of keeping rates unchanged, far exceeding the previous CME forecast of 81.7%! The market's rate cut fantasies are being shattered by cold data, and liquidity tightening alarms may ring again.
Latest developments:
Expectations for rate cuts in January have plummeted to less than 13%, with a comprehensive hawkish stance;
The probability of cumulative rate cuts in March has also shrunk, making a "higher for
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Recently, Bitcoin has climbed to a relatively high position, but encountered strong resistance near the mountain top, similar to facing strong winds while climbing. A clear bearish candlestick indicates that many people chose to "descend" and sell here, causing the price to pull back.
From the shorter hourly chart, the price has been declining from above 93,000, now resting on a mid-mountain platform, in a consolidation phase after a rebound, with no clear direction for the time being.
MACD: The hourly chart shows a clear bearish trend; the daily chart is weakening or entering an adjustment cy
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Bitcoin's recent daily chart looks like a beautiful mountain climb, with several consecutive bullish candles forming an upward mountain path. The trend is strong, and the overall direction remains upward.
However, when reaching the "Halfway Viewpoint" at 93,950, the pace clearly slowed down, and it started to fluctuate at high levels. This reminds us that in the short term, it may be necessary to pause and take a break, or even experience a small downhill segment to digest the fatigue from rapid gains.
Long-term bullish outlook remains, supported by 89,000, with a target of 100,000. Use the sh
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Bitcoin, from the trend perspective, has been continuously closing positive on the daily chart, with the price reaching a high zone and consolidating; the hourly chart initially pushed upward step by step, but in the last hour, it closed negative, signaling a pullback. The two major cycle indicators remain in bullish territory, and the upward momentum is still present, but the momentum bars on the hourly level are already contracting—short-term correction may be imminent. Don't be blinded by the rally; pay attention to support levels.
1.4 Bitcoin Trading Strategies:
1. Buy at 89500-90300, stop
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Bitcoin daily breakout above 90600 resistance, but short-term momentum weakens, entering a phase of oscillation and correction after the breakout. The overall bullish trend remains unchanged, but time is needed to digest the gains. The MACD lines are above the zero axis, but the red histogram is shrinking → short-term upward momentum is waning. The RSI has fallen from overbought territory to 54.66 → market sentiment cooling, becoming more neutral. Moving averages: EMA7/30 form a golden cross in a bullish alignment, with the price testing the EMA7 support → watch for short-term moving average s
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The懂王 said "possible dismissal," but it's legally difficult—The Federal Reserve Chair's term is 4 years, and the President cannot dismiss them at will.
But懂王 is good at "psychological warfare": constantly leaking information to exert pressure, forcing Powell to "actively cooperate."
Next, we might see:
· The Federal Reserve announces a rate cut in January, earlier and more aggressive than expected.
· Old Powell softens his tone, emphasizing "support for the economy."
· 懂王 claims "victory," leading to a short-term stock market rally.
$BTC $ETH #2025Gate年度账单
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Recently, the daily chart of Bitcoin has been quite interesting, with a pattern of alternating bullish and bearish candles, resembling a "plum blossom stake." This indicates that neither the bulls nor the bears have been able to decisively take control, and the market remains in a phase of consolidation and direction selection.
Switching to the 4-hour chart, some positive signs can be observed: the price has slightly increased compared to the weekend, and although the rise isn't significant, the latest candle closed bullish, indicating a short-term rebound possibility. The key indicator MACD's
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Christmas is over, and the real celebration begins. The long position set up this morning was successful, living up to the brothers' expectations.
$BTC $ETH #加密市场小幅回暖
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BTC daily chart is oscillating downward, with long shadow bearish line indicating that short positions are dominant but resistance is appearing. The hourly chart is weakly oscillating within the 86500-88000 range, with rebound lacking strength.
Both the large and small time frame moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, creating short-term pressure. The core volatility range at the hourly level is 86500 - 88000.
The market is in a downward continuation consolidation phase within a short-term bearish pattern. Although the daily chart shows slight stabilization signals, a stronger rebound m
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According to the latest data, the market believes that the probability of the Fed "holding steady" (keeping the interest rate unchanged) is as high as 81%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 18%.
Importantly, this prediction is not just empty talk; it is backed by a real transaction volume of approximately $49.28 million. This means that a significant amount of capital agrees with the judgment that "there will not be an immediate interest rate cut in January next year."
The message for ordinary investors is simple: don’t have too high hopes for an interest rate cut at t
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BTC daily chart strongly broke through the 90000 mark, establishing a long positions pattern. After fluctuating in the 89000-90500 range, the hourly chart has risen, but the attack speed has slowed down.
MACD double cycle golden cross, trend is upward, but hourly chart momentum is slightly weakening.
The medium-term trend is positive, but there is a short-term demand for technical corrections. The market needs to digest the overbought pressure through fluctuations or pullbacks and confirm the effective breakthrough of the 90,000 level.
Avoid chasing highs after a sharp rise. Pay attention to t
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Ether is steadily secured. I am not betting on the direction, but executing the plan. The signal has arrived, and when it's time to enter, I will decisively do so; when the target is reached, I will withdraw decisively. Only in this way can the market's fluctuation turn into real numbers in your account.
$BTC $ETH #加密市场小幅回暖
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The market is currently in a "transition" phase. After the struggle between bulls and bears at the daily chart level, it has entered a balance, while at the hourly chart level, it is clearly in a sideways range between 87500 and 89000. All short-term indicators (MACD, moving averages) point to a pullback, but the long-term lifeline (EMA120) has not yet fallen, qualifying it as a "short-term weak pullback within a medium-term pump trend."
Resistance above: first the upper bound of the hourly range at 89000, then the upper bound of the recent large box at 90600. Only by breaking through 90600 wi
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Recently, the daily chart of Bitcoin has formed a quite powerful bullish candlestick, like a rallying call for the bulls to launch a small counterattack. In the short term, the initiative is in the hands of the bulls.
The daily strong rebound, the hourly oscillating upward (higher highs and higher lows), indicates that the bulls are in the lead. The hourly EMA7 has crossed above EMA30, showing a short-term bullish alignment, and the upward trend is clear. The overall moving averages on the daily chart still show a bearish arrangement, but signs of stabilization and strength are emerging.
The r
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Ethereum long positions just took profit completely, perfectly cashing out! I never trade based on feelings, but strictly follow discipline: go long when it's appropriate, exit when necessary. Only then can I turn market fluctuations into real profits.
Starting today for about half a month, I will slow down the pace, mainly focus on intraday short-term trades, prioritize stability over speed, and strive to end 2025 on a good note.
Trading is not about gambling on tomorrow, but about taking each step well in the present. Steady and sure wins the race.
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Stick to your trading principles. The market is very panicked, Gouzhuang is very disgusting, it's all the same script. Go with the trend, take profits when it's time to take profits.
$BTC $ETH #市场触底了吗?
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This morning (around 10 to 13 Beijing time), the global financial markets are waiting for a big news from Japan: is there really going to be a "rate hike"?
The market almost bets on it will hike (probability 94%), just like waiting for a shoe to drop. Now everyone is not really arguing about "whether to hike or not," but rather "after this hike, will there be continued aggressive increases?" That is the core of the disagreement.
So the key question is: will Japan's rate hike cause the global markets (including the crypto space) to collapse?
The answer is: unlikely in the short term. Because th
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YaoQianshuAvip:
The analysis is particularly accurate.
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