Current Gold Price Trends: Riding the Wave or Too High to Handle?
Since the beginning of 2025, gold prices have performed strongly, with an increase of nearly 40%. This upward trend is mainly driven by three major factors: escalating geopolitical risks, a weakening US dollar, and expectations of global interest rate cuts. However, after reaching a historic high in April, gold prices have retraced about 6%. Does this mean the correction has already occurred? Investors are generally concerned: Can gold prices continue to rise, or should they adopt a wait-and-see approach?
Gold Price Forecast Methodology: Analyzing from Three Perspectives
Macroeconomic Factors: How Policies and Geopolitics Influence Gold Prices
From a macro perspective, the key variables for predicting gold prices in 2025 include:
The Double-Edged Sword of Geopolitical Risks
The conflicts in Ukraine, Middle East tensions, and trade frictions among major powers have all reinforced gold's status as a "safe-haven asset." Historically, events such as the 1973 oil crisis and 2001 9/