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Compiled by: Plain Language Blockchain
While most cryptocurrencies are struggling in 2025, one sector has quietly exceeded expectations: prediction markets. Their trading volume has exploded, accuracy has outperformed polls, and capital is continuously flowing in. But behind this growth lies a more serious issue: Are prediction markets becoming one of the most powerful tools in cryptocurrency, or are they the next overhyped trading frenzy?
Core Concept
Put simply, prediction markets allow users to bet on future outcomes.
Will the election be won?
Will the policy pass?
Will a certain event happen before a specific date?
The trading price for each outcome ranges from $0 to $1 , reflecting the probability. If the outcome occurs, it is settled at $1 . If the market price is $0.63, it means there is a 63% chance of occurrence. This is the unique aspect of prediction markets: they do not rely on opinions but depend on the collective assessment of probabilities.

1. Total cryptocurrency market capitalization rises to $3.19 trillion, an approximately 8% increase at the start of 2026.
2. US stocks close: Dow hits a new high, blockchain concept stocks rise across the board.
3. Crypto fear index rebounds to 44, significantly easing "fear" sentiment.
4. Democratic lawmakers plan to introduce a prediction market-related bill this week to prohibit government officials from profiting through insider information.
5. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January is 82.8%.
6. Investment bank TD Cowen: The crypto market structure bill may be delayed until 2027 for approval and implemented in 2029.
7. Analysis: Despite the market rebound, some investors are still choosing to cut losses and exit; the market may have completed a relatively thorough "clearing."
8. Bitmine pledges an additional 186,000 ETH, worth $604.5 million.
9. The Ethereum staking exit queue has been cleared, with over 1.18 million ETH now queued for staking.

The article discusses the future development trends of blockchain and the crypto industry, emphasizing that transactions are not the ultimate goal of crypto businesses. Stablecoins and tokenization will promote financial innovation, AI applications will change research methods, privacy will become an important competitive advantage, and intelligent market prediction and growth are also expected. Additionally, zkVM as a new term will drive the development of verifiable cloud computing.

The crypto market rebounds amid volatility, with Meme tokens leading the gains; Ethereum stablecoin transfer volume hits a new high; Solana on-chain transaction volume expected to surge; the top 100 publicly listed companies hold large amounts of BTC; Blue Origin accepts ETH payments for space travel expenses.

U.S. spot cryptocurrency ETF trading volume surpasses $2 trillion, SpaceX and others plan IPO in 2026. Ethereum PoS network ETH queue decreases, phishing attack loss expectations decline. U.S. legislation targets insider trading, the government holds a large amount of cryptocurrency. Democrats oppose Trump's actions, Matrixport predicts high risk in 2026.

The digital asset market faces limited liquidity and macro event impacts, with fluctuations expected in the short term. Key data such as FOMC meeting minutes and employment figures will directly influence market sentiment. Cryptocurrencies are closely linked to macroeconomic factors, and future central bank policies, AI development, and tariff impacts will all play significant roles in market trends.

Global institutional cryptocurrency holdings have surpassed $185 billion, with corporations accounting for 73%. SoftBank completes a $40 billion investment in OpenAI, the UK plans to implement a crypto asset regulatory framework by 2027, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, and the market is affected by algorithmic trading and tax-avoidance sell-offs.

Solana DEX's spot trading volume exceeded $1.7 trillion this year, ranking second. Bitcoin remains in the $88,000 range, needing a 6% increase to achieve annual growth. Cryptocurrency trading volume has decreased by 30%, while spot silver has fallen by 2%. The treasury company's outlook before 2026 is concerning, as multiple tokens will face large unlocks.

According to Polymarket data, Lighter is expected to release its Token on December 29th, with an airdrop probability of up to 73%. The DEX attracts retail investors with zero fees and promises a 25% token airdrop, gaining widespread attention. Despite the unfavorable market environment, the potential valuation after the token launch ranges from $2 billion to $3.5 billion, still attracting a large number of traders to participate.

1 - Capital Efficient Consumer Credit
Capital efficient consumer credit is the next frontier in cryptocurrency lending. They combine complex on-chain and off-chain credit modeling, modular design, collateral management, and artificial intelligence learning of user behavior, ultimately encapsulated in an easy-to-access application.
2 - The Polarization of Prediction Markets
Prediction markets will evolve in two very different directions: the "financial" direction and the "cultural" direction.
Financial direction: Prediction markets will have a stronger synergy with DeFi, making leverage more accessible, enabling liquid staking, and creating tools similar to refined "options."
Cultural direction: Cultural markets will tend to capture more popular imagination, exhibit stronger regional differences, and attract enthusiasts in niche areas.

1. Ethereum's contract trading volume this year hit a record high, with excessive leveraged speculation leading to a less-than-expected price;
2. Aave founder: DAO's earnings this year exceeded the total of the past three years, reaching $140 million, with funds used to buy AAVE not for proposal voting;
3. Hyperliquid's net inflow for 2025 reached $3.87 billion, with a trading volume close to $3 trillion;
4. Meme coin sector market cap dropped 65% in one year to $35 billion;
5. Tokenized commodity market size approaches $4 billion, with gold reaching new highs and boosting RWA attention;
6. Glassnode co-founder: Bitcoin derivatives trading pressure dissipates, US M2 money supply hits a record high of $22.3 trillion;
7. Clear

The field of crypto investment is expanding, but capital is becoming more selective, and liquidity competition is intensifying. Bitcoin's dominance is rising, and institutional participation through ETFs and other means is enhancing market compliance. Full-stack crypto applications are gathering, and stablecoins and real-world asset tokenization are driving on-chain economic development. The tokenization process is expected to accelerate by 2026.

The article summarizes the author's predictions for the blockchain and AI sectors in 2026, including corporate payments to AI surpassing human labor, record-breaking liquidity, the increasing importance of vector databases, enhanced AI autonomous task execution capabilities, and strengthened AI budget reviews. It also highlights Google's leading position in AI and the shift towards network designs that prioritize intelligent agents.

The 2025 crypto industry will be dominated by stablecoins, prediction markets, and established players. A series of events have occurred in the market, including hacking activities, predictions of bug-free code in the future, and record-breaking merger and acquisition transaction volumes. Circle clarified false information, while Polymarket confirmed it was targeted by an attack. Investors are advised to enter the market during downturns.

This article discusses the transformation of Ethereum in blockchain transactions, introducing the implementation of faster real-time transaction processing by splitting blocks into "sub-blocks". This shift eliminates the gap between intention and execution, allowing users to enjoy an instant, certain, and fair trading experience. It is expected that by the end of 2026, real-time execution will become the standard configuration for applications.

This week, the crypto market has slightly warmed up, with some tokens leading the rise. The willingness of high-net-worth individuals to invest in digital money has increased, with an expected allocation increase of 25% in the coming year. The market's sluggish trend has not been reversed, and institutional analysts predict that Bitcoin may reach $250,000 within two years. The Fed has a high probability of keeping interest rates unchanged at 79%.

In 2025, the Crypto Assets industry experienced a significant fall, with the vast majority of alts declining by 80%-99%. Bitcoin regained market dominance, while Ether's price fell back to 2022 levels. Strategies such as prediction markets and cash-backed Options received attention, and market governance and Tokenized securities emerged. In the future, there will be greater focus on fundamentals and real value, rather than short-term narratives.