夜爷丶在厦门

Judgment conclusion: The main upward wave in the technical aspect has accelerated and broken through confirmation. Dune on-chain data verifies the authenticity, health, and sustainability of the rise. Currently, it is in the stage of accelerated breakthrough led by institutions, with a very strong medium-term trend.

Judgment conclusion: The technical breakout of the middle Bollinger Band confirms a rebound and enters an acceleration phase. Short-term moving average support, narrowing MACD green bars, and strong KDJ rally jointly verify the upward momentum. Currently in the early stage of acceleration, a breakthrough will lead to an attack on the previous high.

Analysis conclusion: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour cycles have formed a combination of "Bollinger support + MACD momentum stabilization/strengthening + KDJ rebound accumulation/trend continuation," indicating a higher probability of short-term rebound; 93,761.2 USD (1-hour EMA5) and 93,642.4 USD (4-hour EMA5) are strong short-term supports, with a very low probability of breaking below. After stabilization, the price is expected to break through 94,672.7 USD (1-hour Bollinger upper band) and 94,741.5 USD (previous high), confirming a medium-term bullish trend and opening up space.

Analysis conclusion: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour cycles have formed a combination of "Bollinger support + MACD momentum strengthening + KDJ trend continuation," indicating a higher probability of short-term rebound; the short-term strong support levels are at $94,064.9 (1-hour EMA5) and $93,564.0 (4-hour EMA5), with a very low probability of breaking below. After stabilization, the price is expected to break through $94,790.9 (1-hour Bollinger upper band) and $94,741.5 (previous high), confirming a medium-term bullish trend and opening up space for gains.
Price risk control:
◦ Immediate support

Risk Control Points and Trend Outlook
1. Price Risk Control:
◦ Immediate Support Level: 94,049.6 USD (1-hour EMA5), a break triggers a very slight fluctuation of 0.3%-0.5% (targeting the 94,000 USD integer level);
◦ Strong Support Level: 93,582.5 USD (4-hour EMA5), probability of break <3%;
◦ Resistance Levels: 94,741.5 USD (previous high) and 94,800 USD (market maker profit-taking zone), a breakout above targets the 95,000 USD integer level.
2. Position Risk Control: Maintain spot holdings at 80%-90%, leverage trading can add small positions below 94,000 USD (no more than 10% of total positio

Judgment conclusion: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour cycles have formed a combination of "Bollinger Band breakout + MACD momentum strengthening + KDJ trend continuation," indicating a low probability of short-term pullback and strong upward momentum; $94,029.7 USD (1-hour EMA5) and $93,324.8 USD (4-hour EMA5) serve as short-term strong supports, with a very low probability of falling below. After stabilizing, the price is expected to break through $94,485.5 USD (previous high) and the $95,000 USD integer level, confirming a medium-term bullish trend and opening up space.

Judgment conclusion: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour cycles have formed a combination of "Bollinger support/breakout + MACD momentum strengthening + KDJ rebound accumulation/trend continuation," indicating a higher probability of short-term rebound; 93,104.1 USD (1-hour EMA5) and 92,676.3 USD (4-hour EMA5) are strong short-term supports, with a very low probability of breaking below. After stabilizing, the price is expected to break through 93,803.1 USD (1-hour Bollinger upper band) and the 94,000 USD integer level, confirming a medium-term bullish trend and opening up space.

Immediate support level: 92,812.1 USD (1-hour EMA5), a break below triggers a very slight fluctuation of 0.3%-0.5% (targeting the 92,000 USD integer level);
◦ Strong support level: 92,494.2 USD (4-hour EMA5), probability of a break below <3%;
◦ Resistance levels: 93,377.0 USD (previous high) and 93,000 USD (market maker profit-taking zone), with a breakout targeting the 94,000 USD integer level.