December 18, 2025 Daytime Market Analysis
The daily chart is slightly bearish... Currently, the data looks bullish, but the technical indicators are bearish. Whether CPI is bullish or bearish, Ethereum can return to 3000 points... It will reach a new peak next week. If it cannot hold steady, consider going long if the daily breaks down... US market sell-off, tonight's data will determine next week's trend.
For the day: Ethereum shows a divergence with a rebound on a pullback, based on news optimism... Intraday resistance at 2920. Based on tonight's data, after a sharp rally, a breakdown is exp

Weekly Macro Outlook: CPI Data Incoming, Potentially Further Confirming the Fed's Rate Cut Cycle
On December 13, despite the Fed's expected rate cut this week and the release of dovish signals beyond expectations, the real challenges faced by the artificial intelligence sector have led to a complex divergence in the US stock and bond markets. Long-term US Treasury yields rose across the board this week, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing by approximately 5 basis points during the "Fed Rate Cut Week." The macro outlook for this week is as follows:
Monday 22:30, Federal Reserve Board Mem

Important events and data forecasts this week: Powell's speech, US PCE, and small non-farm payrolls.
On December 1, the important events and data forecasts for this week are as follows:
On Tuesday at 9:00, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at a commemorative event;
Tuesday 23:00 Federal Reserve Governor Bowman delivers testimony before the House Committee;
Wednesday 21:15 US November ADP employment figure ( million );
Thursday 21:30 Initial Jobless Claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 29, ( million );
Friday 23:00 US September Core PCE Price Index YoY;
Friday 23:00 US D

Institutions forecast the U.S. non-farm payroll report for September: the weak labor market trend may continue, but it is too early to talk about a collapse.
On November 20, the first non-farm payroll report after the halt will be released tonight, and the views from various institutions are as follows:
Rockefeller: It is expected that the non-farm payrolls in September will increase by 50,000, indicating that the job market remains stable, while the previously released labor data has shown a significant weakening trend;
Indeed Hiring Lab: Compared to previous reports, it is not expected that

Crazy Thursday is approaching, with macro data and Nvidia's earnings report coming after the opening.
On November 19, the U.S. government will release the first batch of macro data after the "government reopening" on the 20th, while the global tech giant Nvidia will announce its third-quarter earnings report, attracting worldwide attention. The market believes that Nvidia's performance will represent the bull and bear trends in the capital market. The specific events are as follows:
01:45, 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin will speak on the economic outlook;
03: