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It only takes 3 minutes to explain why the Federal Reserve's rate cut caused Bitcoin to fall instead of rise, turning it into a trap.
Many people were confused when they checked the market this morning. Clearly, everyone was saying that the Federal Reserve had cut rates, but Bitcoin not only didn't rise, it suddenly dropped sharply. Is it fake news?
Don't panic. Break down those complicated financial terms, and you'll see that what appears to be good news is actually a trap.
1. The so-called good news is nothing new
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points this time, bringing the interest rate to
BTC1.24%
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12.11 ETH Market Analysis
Influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, after reaching a new high, ETH quickly fell back. The current correction is almost complete. The J line in the KDJ indicator has already reached -10.78. The bulls are about to surge, so avoid reckless shorting.
As for the operation, suggest buying around 3170-3100.
Target range: 3300-3440
$ETH
ETH-0.91%
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TrumpSimaDongxivip:
Multiple nonsense, if you don't know, don't post randomly.
The rate cut has indeed arrived! The core points of Powell's speech boil down to two key changes explained in plain language:
1. Looking at the Fed's latest interest rate plans, there will be only one rate cut around 2026, much less than what the market previously expected. It’s like there’s basically no room for rate cuts next year.
2. There’s both bad news and good news. The Federal Reserve will buy $40 billion worth of assets this month, which is equivalent to injecting money into the market. And this will start this month, more aggressive than expected, making it a solid positive signal.
H
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Urgent reminder! The Federal Reserve is going to do something big at tonight's FOMC meeting, and the brothers in the currency circle are quickly focusing their attention!

Now the market is rumoring that the Fed's interest rate cut of 25 basis points tonight is basically stable, and the probability has rushed to more than 80% - this is simply a "splashing water" for liquidity for the currency circle! After the interest rate cut, the returns of the traditional market have become lower, and those hot money that has nowhere to go will most likely run to high-yield risk assets such as Bitcoin, af
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Russell Investments' outlook for this week's Federal Reserve meeting is clear: the US economy is experiencing a rare combination of robust growth alongside weak employment gains, making the Fed's interest rate decisions particularly challenging and leading to internal disagreements on how much policy "insurance" to provide.
Nevertheless, they still expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the rate cut will have a "hawkish" tone—the policy statement and subsequent communication will be cautious in order to prevent the market from forming overly dovish expectations.
Moreover
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12.9 TRB Market Analysis
Looking at the 1-hour trend, this pullback has already reached a low point, the Bollinger Bands have also narrowed, the KDJ indicator is moving upward, and the MACD is about to form a golden cross and is about to break through the zero axis. An upward trend may start at any time.
Operational suggestion: go long at 20-20.5
Target: 22.5-24
$TRB
TRB0.47%
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12.9 BNB Market Analysis
The 4-hour chart is currently in a pullback; after dropping to around 870 twice, it quickly rebounded both times, showing strong support at the bottom. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the KDJ indicator has fallen into the oversold area, so a bullish rebound is likely soon.
Operational suggestion: consider going long at 870-880
Target: 910-930$BNB
BNB0.98%
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The market has been pricing in the potential worst-case scenario in advance, and Monday's market action was particularly nerve-wracking: all U.S. stocks fell, gold dropped below $4,200, Bitcoin briefly dipped below $90,000, and U.S. crude oil also fell below the 50-day moving average to under $60. The declines weren't huge, but the risks were obvious—U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar both rose, essentially indicating that everyone is rushing to sell high-risk assets and move funds to safe havens.
This downturn wasn't without reason—there were plenty of catalysts. First, the sharp drop in the
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The Federal Reserve is making big moves again this week, and even Wall Street isn’t sure whether Powell will signal easing or lean towards tightening. This move will directly impact crypto prices.
At present, a rate cut this week is almost certain. However, Powell is caught between the hawks and doves—one side doesn’t want further easing, while the other is hoping for another cut in January next year. So the consensus on Wall Street is likely “hawkish rate cut”—rates will be lowered, but the messaging will stay tough, with no clear promise of continued easing next year.
Actually, this is good
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ETH-0.91%
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In 2025, the Federal Reserve has already cut rates twice. After the first cut on September 17, Bitcoin fell from 117900 to 108620, a drop of 7.8%. After the second cut on October 29, it plunged from 113640 to 80600, a decline of 28.6%.
Now the market is focused on the Fed's rate decision in the early hours of December 11. CME FedWatch data shows a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut, and most major investment banks also expect a 25 basis point cut. However, the previous two rate cuts did not lead to a bullish trend for Bitcoin; instead, prices continued to fall sharply, which shows that the l
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12.8 SOL Market Analysis
Looking at the 1-hour chart, after dropping from 146 to around 127, it stabilized and started to move up. The MACD has already formed a golden cross, and the KDJ indicator is also clustering together and turning upwards, indicating that the bulls are getting ready to make a move.
Operational suggestion: accumulate at 130-125
Target: 147-153
$SOL
SOL2.58%
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12.8 ETH Morning Market Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, after Ethereum dropped to around 2900, it quickly rebounded, showing that the support around 3000 is very strong. Technically, the MACD is about to form a golden cross, with both the DIF and DEA above the zero axis, indicating bullish momentum is about to strengthen.
Operation suggestion: Accumulate in the 2900-3000 range
Target: 3150-3270
$ETH
ETH-0.91%
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12.8 BTC Morning Market Analysis
In the 1-hour trend, after two days of sideways movement, Bitcoin dropped to around 88,000, but the bulls quickly pulled the price back, indicating intense competition between bulls and bears. From a technical perspective, both the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and the EMA monthly line can support the price. With the Fed's rate cut approaching, it's suitable to build positions in batches during pullbacks.
Operational suggestion: Buy in batches at 88,100-89,000
Target: 91,800-93,200
$BTC
BTC1.24%
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The Fed is about to start cutting rates, while the Bank of Japan might actually raise rates. Global central banks are moving at different paces, so the crypto market could first surge and then drop, leading to especially high volatility. There are plenty of money-making opportunities hidden in this, but you also need to watch out for risks.
The Fed will open its rate-cut window on December 9-10. Based on past data, crypto typically rises by more than 15% on average in the three days after a rate cut. Meme coins like DOGE usually go up the fastest, and Bitcoin might even have a shot at hitting
DOGE-0.14%
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ETH-0.91%
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Dual Regulatory Storm in the Crypto Space: Domestic Ban and Hong Kong Reshuffle Reshape the Stablecoin Landscape
Hong Kong's regulatory adjustment of USDT and mainland China's "zero tolerance" crackdown on stablecoins have created the most stringent dual regulatory storm in crypto history. This differentiated approach of "strict domestic regulation + offshore standardization" not only thoroughly reconstructs the domestic and overseas stablecoin market ecosystem, but also clearly outlines the regulatory red lines and innovation boundaries of China's digital finance sector. Its profound impact a
USDC-0.01%
PYUSD0.03%
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Japan's interest rate hike may seem like a domestic monetary policy adjustment, but it will strongly impact the global crypto market. The core issue is that the yen carry trade, which supports crypto market capital, is directly disrupted. In the short term, the market will first suffer from a triple blow: liquidity crunch, leveraged liquidations, and panic sentiment. In the long term, however, this creates an opportunity for low-entry positioning, with the key depending on the pace of policy and asset selection.
Simply put, Japan's interest rates were previously near zero, so international cap
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ETH-0.91%
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12.5 ETH Evening Market Analysis
Looking at the 1-hour chart, Ethereum has formed two consecutive bullish candlesticks, and the pullback is basically complete. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands provides solid support, with signs of breaking upward through the middle band. The KDJ indicator has turned upward and is about to form a golden cross, indicating that bearish momentum is clearly weakening and the bulls are about to make a move.
Operational suggestion: Go long at 3100-3120
Target: 3190-3250
$ETH
ETH-0.91%
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12.5 BTC Evening Market Analysis
Looking at the 4-hour trend, Bitcoin's pullback and consolidation are almost complete. It has tested the support near 90,800 twice without breaking below, indicating a relatively solid bottom. Technically, the monthly EMA can effectively support the price. The KDJ indicator had previously dropped into the oversold area and is now starting to turn upward, suggesting that the bulls are likely to gain momentum next.
Operation suggestion: go long at 90,000-90,800
Target: 92,100-94,200
$BTC
BTC1.24%
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Tonight, the Federal Reserve will release its latest balance sheet data, which has a huge impact on the global crypto market and can be described as a “critical trigger point.” Currently, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB are experiencing intense volatility, with traders rushing to make final position adjustments. The market is in a tense state, like the calm before the storm.
The data will be released at 4:30 PM Eastern Time, and the core issue is market liquidity: if total assets exceed $6.6 trillion, it means liquidity is tightening and cryptocurrencies may see a sharp dec
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ETH-0.91%
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