Institution: US Treasury yield curve is expected to steepen after the election.

GoldenOctober2024

On November 1, Jinshi Data reported that Mark Dowding, Chief Information Officer of Blue Bay, stated in a report that there is a risk of excessive fiscal spending after the upcoming presidential election, which may steepen the yield curve of US Treasury bonds. ‘We see that regardless of the election outcome, fiscal policy management is based on profligacy,’ he said. He stated that over time, this is expected to result in a significant increase in term premiums - investors seeking to hold long-term bonds rather than short-term bonds. When the yield curve steepens, the gap between short-term and long-term bond yields widens.

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