Roundhill plans to launch six event contract ETFs related to the 2028 U.S. presidential election results

Polymarket Data: The market assigns a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady in April

Gate News report: On March 24, the latest Polymarket data shows that the market is pricing in a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in April this year, a 3% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and only a 1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.

Polymarket Launches Referral Rewards and New Fee Structure, Users Can Earn Up to 30% Rewards

Polymarket launches a new referral program where users can earn 30% of trading fees as rewards. Following an adjustment to its fee structure, the platform now covers nine major market categories with a maximum fee rate of 1.8%. This move enhances user engagement and capital inflows, solidifying its market leadership position while demonstrating innovative capabilities in response to regulatory pressures.

Polymarket's odds for "Bitcoin drops to $65K in March" fall to 28%, down 27% in 24 hours

On March 24, Bitcoin rebounded to $71,000, causing the event probability of "Bitcoin falls to $65,000 in March" on Polymarket to drop to 28%. The probability of "Bitcoin falls to $60,000 in March" is 8%, while the probability of "rising to $80,000" is 9%. The current Bitcoin price is 71037.5 USDT, with a 24-hour gain of 0.29%.

Kalshi Proposes Comprehensive Ban on Athletes and Politicians Participating in Related Market Trading

Crypto Finance reports that on March 24, according to Axios, US prediction market platform Kalshi announced it will upgrade its user access mechanism to proactively block sports-related individuals such as athletes, coaches, and officials from trading in their respective sports, while prohibiting political candidates from trading markets related to their own campaigns. This move aims to address mounting regulatory pressure on insider trading. Polymarket has also introduced new rules that strictly prohibit the use of non-public information.

Regulatory Upgrade Impacts Prediction Markets, Kalshi and Polymarket Strengthen Insider Trading Control Mechanisms

As regulatory pressure from the U.S. Congress increases, prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are strengthening controls on insider trading and market manipulation, advancing their compliance efforts. Kalshi has introduced new screening mechanisms to prohibit candidates and athletes from participating in related trading; Polymarket has updated its violation definitions and enhanced compliance infrastructure. Against a backdrop of tightening regulation, both platforms maintain market dominance, with future compliance capabilities becoming a key competitive differentiator.

MLB Partners with Polymarket! New Era for Prediction Markets?

Major League Baseball (MLB) announced a partnership with prediction market platform Polymarket to serve as the official prediction market exchange, and jointly established risk control measures to limit high-risk markets. The move aims to ensure game integrity and promote the development of legal prediction markets, while raising concerns about manipulation risks and legal positioning. Supporters believe that through cooperation, clear rules can be established and market transparency can be improved.