VanEck: The four-year Bitcoin cycle has been broken in 2025, and the outlook for the next 3 to 6 months remains cautious.

BTC-3,14%

BlockBeats News, January 13 — VanEck issued a statement saying, "Entering 2026, fiscal and monetary policy signals are becoming increasingly clear, and the overall market is leaning more towards risk appetite. After adjustments, artificial intelligence, private credit, gold, and cryptocurrencies are showing more attractive investment opportunities.

In 2026, the market environment will present a scene that investors have never seen in years: a clear market outlook. Clear expectations around fiscal policy, monetary policy directions, and core investment themes support more constructive and risk-oriented strategies, although high discernment is still required in asset selection.

In the crypto market, Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle was broken in 2025, making short-term signals more complex. This divergence makes the outlook for the next 3–6 months more cautious. However, this view is not a consensus; there are still disagreements within the team, with Matthew Sigel and David Schassler holding relatively more optimistic views on the short-term performance of the current cycle."

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