Bitcoin bulls must defend key level to avoid $76K, say analysts

Bitcoin is currently hovering at a critical technical level that needs to be defended to prevent major losses, according to crypto analyst “Daan Crypto Trades.”

He was referring to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone, which serves as a key area of support and resistance during market cycles

“I think this is a key area for the bulls to defend,” he said, observing that a break below it could result in a Bitcoin (BTC) fall to April lows around $76,000

“It’s also pretty much the last major support before testing the April lows again, which would break this high time frame market structure.”

Late on Sunday, Bitcoin was hit with another short leverage flush, with leveraged positions being liquidated on both sides. The asset fell below $88,000 briefly before quickly bouncing back above $91,500

“This is another example of manipulation on the low-liquidity weekend to wipe out both leveraged longs and shorts,” commented “Bull Theory.”

BTC is trading at a key support/resistance zone. Source: Daan Crypto Trades## All eyes are on the Fed meeting this week

The Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary-policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday will conclude with a decision on rates, with a 0.25% cut widely expected

Crypto markets have lost momentum since the October cut, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell “signaled a non-linear, data-dependent easing path rather than a clear-cutting cycle,” 10x Research head Markus Thielen said in a note shared with Cointelegraph

Related: Bitcoin buries the tulip myth after 17 years of proven resilience says ETF expert

He added that the market now expects a 25-basis-point cut on Dec. 10, followed by a cautious tone, “which would mirror October’s hawkish execution and sustain mild pressure into year-end.”

“With volumes already depressed and ETF flows negative, upside participation remains thin while the $70,000–$100,000 BTC range holds and implied volatility continues to compress, leaving downside risk more pronounced than upside.”

Fed outlook statement will be key

Apollo Capital’s Henrik Andersson echoed the sentiment, telling Cointelegraph that a Fed rate cut this week is already priced in, but the key for the market direction will be the outlook statement. He remained cautiously optimistic for next year

“However, with the Fed chairman being replaced in May next year, we will likely get more interest rate cuts in 2026, which should be supportive for risk assets, including crypto.”

Director of LVRG Research, Nick Ruck, agreed, telling Cointelegraph that, in addition to the Fed meeting, upcoming jobs and inflation data releases “could unlock renewed liquidity inflows and propel a broader market rebound if they align with expectations for continued monetary easing.”

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