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$1.4 Billion Cash "Fire Extinguisher" in Place, MicroStrategy Temporarily Eases Bitcoin Selling Pressure

In response to Bitcoin price volatility and market concerns over potential sell-offs, crypto industry “whale” MicroStrategy Inc. has announced the establishment of a cash reserve of up to $1.4 billion. The company’s CEO, Phong Le, stated that the funds, raised through stock sales, will provide the company with a 21 to 24-month buffer for dividend payments, allowing it to avoid being forced to liquidate its massive $59 billion Bitcoin holdings during market turbulence. This move aims to ease investor panic and demonstrates the company’s determination to “pay dividends permanently.” The market reacted positively, with the company’s stock price rising nearly 8% and Bitcoin rebounding to around $92,000.

Building a Cash “Ammunition Reserve” to Insure Bitcoin Holdings

Facing ongoing market turmoil and deepening investor doubts, MicroStrategy has rolled out a key defensive measure. CEO Phong Le officially announced in a Bloomberg TV interview on Tuesday that the company has established a dedicated cash reserve of $1.4 billion. The strategic purpose of these funds is clear: to provide ample liquidity to meet short-term obligations (such as dividend and bond interest payments) during market fluctuations, thereby avoiding the need to sell its core asset—Bitcoin—at the worst possible time.

According to Le, this reserve gives the company crucial “time.” It is sufficient to cover dividend payments for the next 21 months, or up to two years with other cash flows included. This means that for a considerable period going forward, regardless of Bitcoin price swings, the company will have enough “ammunition” to meet shareholder demand for cash returns without touching its $59 billion Bitcoin stockpile. This move directly addresses the market’s biggest recent concern: that the company could become the largest potential seller as Bitcoin prices pull back from their highs due to cash flow pressures. After the announcement, market sentiment was significantly soothed, with MicroStrategy’s stock price surging nearly 8% that day.

Le was candid about the company’s core concern in the interview: “We really don’t want to have to tap into those Bitcoins when the company’s equity value is below the value of our Bitcoin holdings.” This statement highlights a fundamental challenge of the “digital asset treasury” model: when the market values the company’s business (i.e., stock price) below the net value of its Bitcoin holdings, a theoretical “value inversion” occurs, potentially leading shareholders to pressure for asset liquidation. The cash reserve is intended to fundamentally separate operating cash flow from asset value fluctuations, protecting its long-term holding strategy.

MicroStrategy Key Financial and Market Data Snapshot

New Cash Reserve Amount: $1.4 billion

Current Value of Bitcoin Holdings: Approximately $59 billion

Cash Reserve Coverage for Dividends: 21 months (extendable to 2 years)

Recent Stock Price Pullback from High: About 60% (since November 2024 high)

Key Valuation Metric (mNAV): Approximately 1.17 (as of Tuesday)

Single-Day Stock Price Gain After Announcement: Nearly 8%

Valuation “Red Line” Warning Eased, but Risks Remain

MicroStrategy’s decision is closely tied to a key market valuation metric—modified Net Asset Value (mNAV)—which compares the company’s enterprise value to the value of its Bitcoin holdings. When mNAV is greater than 1, the market assigns a premium to the company’s business operations; when it approaches or falls below 1, it means the company’s stock price is almost entirely supported by its Bitcoin holdings, with the business itself being undervalued or even facing a “value inversion.”

According to the company’s website, its mNAV was about 1.17 on Tuesday, still above 1 but approaching this psychological “red line.” This proximity triggered investor panic, fearing that if mNAV turns negative, the company could be forced to sell Bitcoin as a last resort. Related comments by Le on a podcast last week intensified these concerns. The establishment of a $1.4 billion cash reserve is effectively a firewall built before mNAV hits a critical point, using external funding (via stock issuance) to maintain cash outflows, thus buying precious time for its Bitcoin holdings and company valuation.

However, this solution is not cost-free. The reserve is funded by issuing more stock, which dilutes existing shareholders’ equity. It is essentially a “trading space for time” strategy, and its long-term effectiveness depends on two core variables: whether Bitcoin prices can resume their upward trend to boost asset value, and whether the company can achieve substantial growth in its stated enterprise software business to genuinely enhance business valuation. If the market remains sluggish and the cash reserve is exhausted, the problem will resurface.

“Digital Asset Treasury” Model Faces Severe Stress Test

MicroStrategy’s move is a microcosm of a broader industry trend. Its pioneering “digital asset treasury” model—where a listed company holds Bitcoin as a primary reserve asset and uses capital market leverage to keep accumulating more—is facing the toughest stress test since its inception. This financial engineering “playbook,” once praised for cleverly merging crypto conviction with public market access, is showing cracks under the dual pressures of Bitcoin declines and waning risk appetite.

The previously effective growth cycle of “fundraising-buying BTC-rising” is faltering. When Bitcoin prices were rising, the company’s stock outperformed Bitcoin itself, allowing it to raise capital cheaply through stock issuance to buy more Bitcoin, further boosting the stock price in a positive feedback loop. However, when the market turns and Bitcoin drops, this flywheel reverses: the stock price may fall faster than Bitcoin, crippling fundraising ability or even leading to liquidation pressure. By building a cash reserve, MicroStrategy is essentially pausing this high-risk leverage game and adopting a more conservative defensive posture.

Le even revealed in the interview that the company is considering “lending out some of its Bitcoin.” This is significant, marking a shift from a pure “buy and hold” strategy toward exploring ways to generate yield from Bitcoin assets (such as lending or staking)—an “active asset management” model. This is both a realistic response to cash flow pressures and a sign of the maturing crypto custody and value-added services sector. However, it also introduces new risks, such as counterparty credit risk.

Past and Present: From Enterprise Software Vendor to Bitcoin “Flagbearer”

For new investors, MicroStrategy’s story is a legend of the crypto era. Before 2020, it (then known as MicroStrategy) was an unremarkable enterprise software company. Its co-founder and chairman, Michael Saylor, deeply concerned about fiat currency inflation, made a move that shocked Wall Street: massively converting the company’s balance sheet cash into Bitcoin.

This radical transformation was initially viewed as bizarre, but as Bitcoin kicked off a historic bull market, MicroStrategy’s stock became a favorite among speculators seeking easy Bitcoin exposure. After the strategy shift, its stock soared more than 3,500% at its peak—far outpacing all stock indices—and became a market phenomenon. It was thus seen as the “pioneer” of deeply binding public companies to crypto assets, attracting a wave of imitators. However, after hitting an all-time high in November 2024, and as post-election crypto mania subsided, its stock has since pulled back about 60%, demonstrating the highly cyclical nature of this model.

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