What To Expect From XRP Price In December 2025

XRP price in December 2025 remains a topic of intense debate among investors, as the cryptocurrency faces significant resistance near $2.460 despite positive developments like ETF inflows. With XRP trading at $2.25 as of November 30, 2025, a 16% weekly decline has pushed the token toward critical support levels. While long-term holders continue to sell, limiting breakout confidence, a close above $2.459 could signal a bullish shift toward $2.60–$2.61. Below, we explore the key factors influencing XRP’s near-term trajectory, drawing from recent market data and analyst insights.

Current Market Context: Heavy Resistance and Selling Pressure

XRP has struggled to maintain momentum above $2.460, a level that has capped upside since mid-November. The token’s 16% weekly loss reflects broader crypto market weakness, with Bitcoin down 5.9% to $86,193 and Ethereum falling 3.21% to $3,019. Trading volume for XRP spiked 27% to $5 billion in 24 hours, representing nearly 5% of its $127 billion market cap, indicating heightened selling pressure.

Long-term holders have been active sellers, contributing to the lack of sustained buying. On-chain data shows increased exchange inflows, with open interest in XRP futures at its lowest since November, when election-related optimism briefly lifted sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index at 15 underscores investor panic, a level not seen since April.

Despite these headwinds, XRP’s resilience is evident in its 8.25% daily gain following ETF launches from Franklin Templeton and Grayscale. However, the $2 mark remains pivotal—if breached, further downside to $1.80 or $1.50 could materialize.

Technical Analysis: $2.459 Breakout Needed for Bullish Reversal

XRP’s chart shows a bearish structure, with the token testing trendline support at $2.00. A daily close above $2.459 would invalidate this pattern and target $2.60–$2.61, aligning with the 50-day EMA. RSI at 32 indicates oversold conditions, potentially setting up a relief rally if volume supports the move.

Key levels:

• Resistance: $2.459 (immediate), $2.60–$2.61 (next target).
• Support: $2.00 (trendline), $1.80 (Fibonacci 61.8%).

MACD shows bearish divergence, but a golden cross could emerge if momentum shifts. Exchange netflows suggest accumulation below $2, with whale activity stabilizing the floor.

ETF Inflows: Positive Catalyst Amid Selling

XRP’s ETF launches have provided a buffer, with Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ and Grayscale’s GXRP debuting on November 25. Initial inflows reached $36 million for XRPZ, contrasting Bitcoin’s $1.11 billion weekly outflows. Bitwise and Canary Capital’s products have added liquidity, with cumulative XRP ETF AUM at $422 million.

These developments enhance accessibility, potentially drawing institutional capital and reducing volatility. However, long-term holder sales—up 8% of supply in the past week—counteract inflows, capping upside.

Long-Term Holders’ Selling: Limiting Breakout Confidence

Long-term holders (LTHs) have increased selling, moving 8% of supply to exchanges in the past week—the highest since March. This distribution, amid ETF enthusiasm, reflects profit-taking after XRP’s 310% three-month rally. LTH SOPR below 1 indicates losses on sales, suggesting capitulation but also exhaustion.

If LTH selling eases, confidence in a December breakout rises; otherwise, sub-$2 tests loom.

Market Sentiment: From FOMO to Wait-and-See

Sentiment has shifted from FOMO to cautious observation, with the Fear & Greed Index at 15 signaling fear. Social media buzz focuses on $100,000 Bitcoin by year-end, but XRP discussions highlight $2 support. Institutions remain optimistic on ETF growth, while retail traders eye short-term trades.

KOLs like RunnerXBT note: “$91.8k key for BTC; XRP targeting $104k on remaining long.” Murphy adds: “Whales adding at $88K support signals $80K confidence.”

Conclusion: $2.459 Close Critical for December Momentum

XRP’s December outlook hinges on breaking $2.459 for a bullish shift to $2.60–$2.61, supported by ETF inflows but pressured by LTH sales. With sentiment at 15 and volume signaling interest, a hold above $2 could spark recovery; failure risks $1.80. Investors should monitor ETF flows and whale activity for directional cues.

In summary, XRP price in December 2025 faces $2.460 resistance amid 16% weekly losses, with ETF launches providing inflows but LTH selling capping gains—a close above $2.459 could unlock $2.60–$2.61 upside.