Polymarket prediction event shows a new address buying approximately $100,000 in "No" direction positions at 88.4¢, with current unrealized gains of about $70. This event is affected by evolving US-Iran situation dynamics, as Trump delays military strikes while Iran denies negotiations, leaving regional situation uncertain.

Токен TRUMP (трампная монета) недавно продолжает ослабевать, текущая цена составляет 3,21 доллара США, снижение за день составляет 1,32%, приближаясь к историческому минимуму в 2,705 доллара США. Данные по операциям в цепи блокчейна показывают, что давление продаж полностью не было высвобождено, основные оттоки капитала значительны. Технический анализ указывает на то, что при продолжении тренда цена может упасть до 2,71 доллара США, 3,00 доллара США являются психологической поддержкой, рыночные настроения становятся осторожными.

On March 22, following Trump's ultimatum to Iran, Bitcoin fell below $69,200, with a 24-hour decline of 2.2%. Market sentiment impacted mainstream crypto assets across the board, with a general downturn despite the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged. War risk prompted traders to exercise caution. If Iran fails to restore passage through the Strait of Hormuz, the conflict could escalate, affecting global energy transportation.

On March 22, after Trump issued a "48-hour ultimatum," crude oil prices rose. Sky founder Rune's multiple leveraged positions were profitable, with a structure including a 20x leveraged WTI crude oil long position with unrealized gains of approximately $155,000, a 7x leveraged Brent crude oil long position with unrealized gains of approximately $130,000, and a total position value reaching approximately $11.55 million.

March 20, a prediction market shows two high win-rate addresses invested $9,700 in the "Will the U.S. military invade Iran" event, choosing "No," with the current probability of "No" at 40%. Trump stated during a meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister that he would not dispatch U.S. troops, while the Defense Secretary reiterated U.S. military objectives. Trader behavior indicates short-term arbitrage rather than bets on the actual occurrence of the event.

March 20th, prediction platforms show the probability of the United States confirming the existence of extraterrestrials before 2027 has risen to 17%. The White House-registered "aliens.gov" currently has no content. Trump announced plans to declassify UFO-related files, with the Secretary of Defense confirming they are under review, though no timeline was disclosed. Former officials claim the government possesses numerous unpublished visual evidence.

Gate News сообщает, что 19 марта согласно мониторингу Lookonchain некоторый адрес открыл длинные позиции по 33 токенам, но открыл короткую позицию по TRUMP.

Gate News сообщает, что 18 марта Eric Trump опубликовал твит о том, что стейблкоин-проект USD1 запустил торговую пару с бессрочными контрактами на децентрализованной платформе для торговли бессрочными контрактами Aster DEX. Aster является вторым по величине децентрализованным биржей бессрочных контрактов в мире с дневным объемом торговли свыше 1,3 млрд долларов USA, общей стоимостью заблокированных средств в цепи примерно 1,5 млрд долларов USA и поддерживается YZi Labs.

On March 18, Bitcoin price fell back to $72,300, down approximately 2%. Ethereum, Solana, and XRP declined nearly 3%. U.S. President Trump took a hardline stance toward Iran, with geopolitical tensions causing WTI crude oil prices to rise. U.S. February PPI data exceeded expectations, with markets focusing on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Powell's remarks.

On March 18, prediction markets showed a newly created address invested $57,500 betting on a U.S. invasion of Cuba, causing significant fluctuations in the relevant probability. Trump stated he might take over Cuba amid U.S.-Cuba tensions and said he is negotiating with Cuba. The U.S. cut financial support to Cuba, raising public concerns about possible military action.