Culper Research's short position on Ethereum essentially bets on the "narrative collapse": they seize on information such as gas fees decreasing due to the Fusaka upgrade, questions about on-chain activity quality, and Vitalik Buterin reducing his holdings, attempting to prove that Ethereum's demand is overestimated. However, on the other side of the market, large whales continue to accumulate, indicating that funds have not dismissed its long-term role as a settlement layer and DeFi infrastructure. Usually, during this phase of "fundamental debate + capital disagreement," prices enter a high-volatility range, and in the short term, they are more likely to be driven by sentiment and liquidity rather than a single narrative. For investors, the key is not to bet on a one-sided conclusion but to observe two points: first, whether on-chain real usage (TVL, stablecoin settlements, L2 settlement volume) continues to grow; second, whether the capital structure is still experiencing net inflows. If the fundamentals remain stable, shorting the narrative often acts as a squeeze fuel; otherwise, prices may enter a longer valuation compression cycle. $ETH

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