Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson is "cautiously optimistic" about the economic outlook, expecting inflation to decline.

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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said he is “cautiously optimistic” about the U.S. economic outlook, implying that strong productivity growth could help bring inflation back down to the Fed’s 2% target. Jefferson stated in a speech prepared for a Friday address in Washington, “I expect the process of inflation returning to our 2% goal will resume this year as tariffs are more fully transmitted to prices. Additionally, the expected strong productivity growth may further support the decline in inflation.” Given the Fed’s “firm commitment to returning inflation to target, such a one-time shift may pose a lower risk of persistent inflation,” he said. “This means there is more room on the supply side of the economy to grow without the need for preemptive monetary policy tightening.” (Cailian Press)

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