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Japan operates as a structural hedge against inflation while maintaining a long exposure to bonds—a paradox that fundamentally shapes the yen's trajectory. With the currency hitting fresh lows, this dynamic reveals critical clues about the macro regime shift ahead.
The yen's weakness reflects Japan's persistent deflationary bias and yield suppression model. As global inflation pressures mount and other central banks tighten, Japan's low-rate environment creates a widening carry differential. This isn't random noise—it's a calculated positioning that mirrors broader asset allocation flows.
For traders navigating the next volatility cycle, understanding Japan's role as a macro hedge becomes essential. The yen's depreciation often precedes significant cross-asset rotations, signaling when inflation expectations reset and bond markets reprice.