Analista: Los titulares a corto plazo de Bitcoin enfrentan pérdidas crecientes, el indicador MVRV muestra que la presión bajista en el mercado aún persiste

金色财经_ · 2026-03-29T19:29:38+00:00

El precio de Bitcoin fluctúa entre 65,000 y 70,000 dólares, muy por debajo del costo de los holders a corto plazo de 85,900 dólares, lo que provoca que la mayoría de los inversores estén en pérdidas. El indicador MVRV está por debajo del nivel neutral, lo que presiona a los holders a corto plazo, el mercado es inestable, pero los datos históricos indican que este momento podría ser una oportunidad adecuada para inversiones a largo plazo.

金色财经_

2026-03-29 19:29:38

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Golden Finance reported that on March 30, Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost stated that the current Bitcoin price is fluctuating between $65,000 and $70,000, far below the average holding cost of short-term holders — this cost benchmark is estimated at $85,900.
In the past six months, almost all investors who entered Bitcoin are currently in a state of loss. This is clearly reflected in the MVRV (Market Value / Realized Value Ratio) indicator: the current value has fallen to bear market valuation levels. This indicator compares market value with on-chain realized costs to determine whether the market is undervalued or overvalued.
Currently, the MVRV for short-term holders is about 0.77, significantly below the neutral reasonable level. At the end of February this year, the indicator even fell to 0.7 at one point, meaning that short-term holders have an average floating loss of nearly 30%. When the MVRV for short-term holders remains deeply in the low negative range for a long time, it is usually not an optimistic signal. This indicates that the short-term holding group is under significant pressure, which can lead to increased market fluctuations and a more fragile and unstable situation. However, from a historical perspective: such stages are often suitable for gradually accumulating long-term positions. When the market is in this bottoming cycle, it often provides patient investors with high-quality layout opportunities.

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