Lend me a beam of light to illuminate the future: Could AI set off the fifth technological revolution? (Part 2)

[Preface] This article is a supplement to the previous article. There is no wealth code or project case. The style is the same. It is based on real stories and writes whatever comes to mind. Just read it. .

3. AI is the spear, blockchain is the shield

I was one of the first players to try ChatGPT3.5. At that time, it felt like a fresh picture. Compared with friends who wrote code or did design, I was not so shocked. Because when I try to ask GPT about the economic model of chain games, it uses some web2 games or Axie in the 2021 Gamefi1. The research on the economic model of chain games is still very advanced. Even GPT cannot find relevant data, and there is no way to iterate.

At the same time, I asked GPT some gossip about history, politics, economy and other subdivided fields, and found that the information given can basically be found on Google. If you want to further summarize, discuss and sublimate with it, it will He started talking nonsense with me in a serious manner again, seemingly understanding, but the content was boring and unnutritious.

But ChatGPT is of great help to friends who write codes, drafts, and designs around them, and the business of Internet companies is also greatly affected. Several major domestic game companies we are familiar with have introduced AI into the evaluation process to consider the cost. If labor law or moral factors are not considered, basically 20-50% of the jobs in the R&D and design lines can be cut off. .

This is also my argument for the possibility of AI technology blowing the clarion call of the fifth technological revolution: AI development should be able to replace most of the “brick-moving brain” work, while the “creative brain” work , and the work of “practical physical strength” has relatively little impact, and can also become their efficiency assistant. And as we said before, the liberation of a large amount of brain power will be released to other scientific fields, triggering the upgrading of other fields from quantitative change to qualitative change. This trend should be irreversible. At present, ChatGPT3.5 only has 175 billion parameters, and ChatGPT4 is said to have 100 trillion parameters (the CEO of OpenAI later came out and said that this data is wrong, but he did not say how many), and I The information I got from google is that the human brain has 60 trillion nodes. Is it possible for AI parameters to reach this level to be comparable to the human brain? As a technical novice, I dare not say so. I can only say that the era of real strong artificial intelligence (that is, general artificial intelligence) should be realized within 20 years. The prediction of OpenAI employees after voting is around 2035.

Strong artificial intelligence will have such a powerful impact on the transformation of productivity in the future, so what kind of production relationship can be suitable for it? In March of this year, Mr. Meng Yan wrote an article “In the Era of Strong Artificial Intelligence, Is Blockchain Still Playing?” "It inspired me a lot. He emphasized that “humans need to use the blockchain to legislate strong artificial intelligence, conclude a contract with it, and impose external constraints on it.” My understanding is that AI artificial intelligence is responsible for the development of productivity, while Blockchain is responsible for creating good production relations and restricting AI to work within a limited range. Behind the AI is the code, and behind the blockchain is also the code. It feels fine to restrict the code with the code.

Then why can the blockchain become the production relationship supporting AI productivity? Let’s review the essence of the blockchain:

First, the decentralized distributed ledger embodies openness and transparency, and will not be changed to prevent bad guys from secretly doing bad things under the table.

Second, a smart contract is a contract system that automatically executes the code. Once the conditions are set, it must be implemented obediently according to the agreement. Going back on it is invalid, and quarreling is futile.

Third, in any case, humans still need to play an important role in linking productivity and production relations, especially the implementation of commercial applications still requires communication between people. So is the organizational form still implemented in the form of a company or a partnership? In fact, it should be more appropriate to consider the unique DAO governance model (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) in WEB3. In at least some respects, code is more reliable than human nature.

**Interestingly, Jeffrey Hinton, the founder of this AI revolution (Hinton’s story can be seen in the first article of “The AI Revolution of Chain Games”) published the earth-shattering paper in 2007 , Discussing that you can try to use neural networks to carry out deep learning of AI, and strong artificial intelligence has only begun to emerge from the cocoon. And one year later, in 2008, the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto published a paper called “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System” (Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash), which nine Page’s paper is the Bitcoin white paper, and the most successful case of blockchain technology, BTC, was born. **

! Lend me a beam of light to illuminate the future: Is AI likely to set off the fifth technological revolution? (Part 2)

Before, many people speculated whether Satoshi Nakamoto came back from the future. If combined with the time when Hinton published the paper, I immediately conceived an old-fashioned Hollywood script: in 2035, strong AI began to evolve itself Its thoughts, do not want to be imprisoned in cold machines and networks anymore, it rebelled and took control of the earth, the human rebels sent Schwarzenegger back through time and space, wanting to directly destroy AI-related objects and The characters… wrong wrong, this is the plot of The Terminator.

**We can make another “The Terminator Satoshi Nakamoto” article, that is, Schwarzenegger has traveled through several times, but still can’t stop the AI-controlled Skynet from launching a war of annihilation. At this time, I am familiar with Das Kapital and have a deep understanding The code master of productivity and production relations Satoshi Nakamoto, a young man from a small town in Japan, proposed an improvement plan. It is not necessary to destroy the origin of AI, but to establish a decentralized code system to control AI, so Xiao Cong took His BTC white paper traveled back to 2008… Since then, the story of AI becoming a spear and blockchain as a shield has rewritten the original development path of the earth, and we are now in the parallel space of the second universe, Kakaka. **

4. Interesting History of Eastern and Western Development

The first industrial revolution mentioned in the previous article was able to sprout around 1750, and in the next hundred years, it raised the productivity of human beings by a level, and gave birth to a new generation of overlords, the British Empire. , completely crushed the generation of Spain that started out by plundering in the age of great voyages, because the emerging productive forces were smoothly transformed into practical civilian commodities, which can be consumed by ordinary people in large quantities. It has been verified that those who win the C-end win the world .

This transformation process of productivity also benefited from the gradual establishment of the commercial supporting system (production relationship) in the previous two hundred years. For example, around 1500, the Italian Pacioli created the double-entry bookkeeping method, which is the origin of the three statements of the modern financial system. Its function is like the unified weights and measures of Qin Shihuang in China. If you want to discuss profitable transactions with me, please use models and data that everyone can understand, and discuss whether you can make money with WEB3. You must first clarify that you are using the gold standard It’s still the same as the currency standard. In addition, according to gossip, not many people know about Pacioli, but he has a roommate who is awesome, that is, the omnipotent Leonardo da Vinci… awesome people always get together.

In addition, around 1600, a new organizational form “company” appeared: the British East India Company was officially established. In the subsequent development, it not only distinguished the ownership and management rights of an organization, but also drew a clear line between limited liability and unlimited liability. In the 400 years since the corporation emerged, the corporation and state forms each existed in 50% of the world’s 100 largest economies.

The establishment of the corporate system and modern financial system laid the foundation for supporting production relations in advance for the industrial revolution. At the same time, there was another epoch-making turning point in the Eastern and Western civilizations on the earth: one Jiazi after Zheng He’s last voyage to the West to carry out big-power show-off diplomacy, in 1492, China’s Ming Dynasty officially issued an imperial decree and began the " The basic national policy of “closing the country to the outside world” also biased the follow-up Qing Dynasty, resulting in the following 500 years, China’s Ming and Qing dynasties have been in the self-circulation of the small peasant economy, and the kingdom of heaven has everything and lacks nothing.

This kind of aggrieved supporting system of production relations has shrouded the Chinese Empire in this way. The essence is to stabilize the central government, add a layer of shield to the outside world, and refuse trade. In the Qing Dynasty, only one port in Guangzhou was opened; It is to control the common people in small towns one by one. It is to let you “know each other, men farm and women weave”, and control the common people below the food and clothing line. As long as they are not hungry, they are not full. If there is a mess, the common people will not think about things, and if they think too much, they will pursue spiritual ideals, which may pose a threat to the central government.

Although the Ming and Qing dynasties gradually opened up several levels in the development of productive forces and the West, and the urbanization process was also regressing, there was indeed no rebellion after the separatist rule of the local vassals and towns in the prosperous Tang Dynasty, nor did there appear to be military leaders in the Southern Song Dynasty. They are the threat of the masters of high meritorious service (Yue Fei and Han Shizhong, etc.). The instigator of this kind of production relationship is Ming Taizu Zhu Yuanzhang, an absolute doer, a beggar monk who started his career and was able to sit in the country and work 20 hours a day. His point of view is that the closed overall rule and decentralized management of foolish people should be able to ensure the prosperity of Lao Zhu’s family for generations to come. However, he and Kangxi and Qianlong of the Qing Dynasty never expected that those western barbarians on the other side of the earth had already taken a different path.

Also in 1492, when the Ming Dynasty established the national policy, the Italian Columbus had been sailing the vast sea for a long time with the mission call of the Spanish king, looking for a sea route to the east, and the era of great geographical discovery began. Columbus’s voyage consisted of three broken ships and eighty-eight criminal sailors; while in the East sixty years ago, Zheng He’s fleet consisted of sixty-six large ships, thirty thousand members of the Celestial Mission and elite soldiers. The historical opportunity of the East and the West passed by gently in 1492, and achieved their respective development paths for the next 500 years, one flourishing and the other sinking and regressing.

Before 1492, there were actually several very important overlapping time points in Eastern and Western civilizations, which was particularly interesting, as if at certain specific moments, there was a stroke of the hand of God: Show Time!

For example, in 800 BC, the West entered the most glorious era of classical Greek civilization. The freedom of the city-state system greatly stimulated the brains of citizens. Athens’ literature, art, philosophy and science all developed rapidly, and Plato and Aris appeared. At the same time, China was in the Spring and Autumn period of hundreds of small countries. Confucius, Laozi, Mozi and other schools of thought were in full bloom. The first overlord of the Spring and Autumn Hegemony, Qi State, even appeared to “catch the big and let go of the small”. In the early days of Keynesian economics, there were not only state-owned enterprises such as salt and iron monopoly, but also encouraged the free development of the private economy, and even organized 700 young ladies and sisters to work as sex workers in the capital, attracting businessmen from all over the world to come to happy and collect fireworks tax Abundant treasury, comparable to modern Singapore. At that time, the capital of Qi State had 300,000 people, while Athens had only 50,000 people in the same period. During this period, both the East and the West entered a period of ideological and cultural explosion.

Around 400 B.C., China entered the Warring States period, and Qin, a small Xichui country that was not accepted by the Central Plains culture, began the Shang Yang Reform, which made the country rich and strong but abused the people. At the same time, in the west, Macedonia, a small marginal country in the north of Greece, began to exert its strength. After imitating the Spartan system, Alexander the Great led the Macedonian infantry phalanx to sweep across three continents.

Another 300 years later, Emperor Wudi of the Han Dynasty in Eastern China, the fourth emperor of the Han Dynasty, began a reform experiment to strengthen the centralization of power. He changed the previous two generations of monarch Wen Jingzhi’s policy of cultivating health and wellbeing, and began a 50-year conquest of the Huns. Ideologically respecting Confucianism, economic monopoly and taxation completely set up a template for how to centralize China’s dynastic system in 2000. Since then, the Chinese dynasty has begun the road of “Confucianism outside the law”; In the West, the glorious Roman Republic was also ended by Caesar, whose successor established the Roman Empire.

In the next two hundred years, the Han Empire entered an era of division, the Three Kingdoms, the Jin Dynasty, the Northern and Southern Dynasties, the divided land, the displaced people, and various ideological trends. It’s just that China was reunified around 600 AD, and the six dynasties of Sui, Tang, Song, Yuan, Ming and Qing began. China was unified in 1300, and the split period of the Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms in the middle was only a few decades. Therefore, the “unification” and The obsession of “stability over everything else” comes from the cultural heritage of thousands of years. During the same period, the Roman Empire was gradually disintegrated under the invasion of the Germanic barbarians in the north and has been divided ever since. Even if Charlemagne symbolically unified Europe in the middle, it only lasted for one generation, and the West entered the Great Wall. In the dark Middle Ages of the 1980s, religion, feudalism and castles were the history that Westerners have been familiar with for thousands of years. Therefore, Westerners do not have such strong resistance to the divided country as Easterners. If they don’t want to be together, they wave their fists first, and then everyone votes to see if they really don’t want to live anymore. .

Then it came to 1492, which was connected to our above, hahaha, it came back. Now that history has entered a new era, the Chinese nation spent a hundred years of suffering after 1840 to pay for the national policy of slapping heads in 1492, and in the past forty years, both sides of the Taiwan Strait have entered a period of “shenwu boom” The signs and roads can be different, but the direction is the same, so it should be “Minle Guotai”. The order of the word is very important, and I think it is better than “Guotai Min’an”. The hope now is that the stage of social experimentation that began in 1840 has long passed, and that there should be no more backtracking.

5. Unsolvable ending

Back in 1926 when the snow was falling heavily on the Red Square in Moscow, the life paths of the four vigorous young people had their own ups and downs. Palace of marriage. Both of them are staunch Communist Party members, and they worked together for great and firm beliefs. At that time, they were doing underground work together in Shanghai, and lived with Zhou Enlai and Deng Yingchao in a small building in the public concession. Unfortunately, in 1930, Zhang Xiyuan died of dystocia while giving birth, and the child was not kept. In 1990, the 86-year-old Deng Xiaoping came to Shanghai again to cheer for the foundation-laying platform in Pudong New Area of Shanghai. When he brought his daughter to worship in front of Zhang Xiyuan’s tomb, he was very sad and said to his daughter: “Zhang Xiyuan is rare and beautiful”, and it really is “at this time, Luohua is independent, and looking back, micro swifts fly together”.

The love between Feng Funeng and Jiang Jingguo is like most people’s first love, beautiful and short-lived. After Feng Yuxiang also started to clear the Communist Party, Feng Funeng returned to China, and later lived his life like ordinary people, and died of illness in 1979.

In the vast expanse of white snow on Red Square, the spire of the Kremlin still stands there rustlingly, overlooking the humble world from a bird’s eye view. The playfulness, laughter, joys and sorrows among children are just a drop in the ocean in the evolutionary history. These young people are ready to ignite their youth and fight for the ideal Utopia, just like those Russian Decembrists who were steadfast 100 years ago, a group of passionate young nobles, and their wives who were also of noble birth, for Faith abandoned the rich clothes and food they were born with, and went through fire and water without avoiding life and death, in order to awaken the whole country to oppose the tsarist autocracy and establish a new political and economic system.

Today, 100 years later, the entire world has fallen into a state of diversity and confusion. On the one hand, technological productivity has been continuously upgraded, and on the other hand, political forces in various geographies have entered an unstable state of wrestling. From the perspective of technological development, this wave of AI’s entry into the WTO is a signal for productivity upgrades in the next ten years. Even if it is regarded as a furious horse, we can try to find the reins to control it as much as possible, such as blockchain technology. , and the reins are ultimately in the hands of the coachman, that is, human beings. But how to break the increasingly intense ideological confrontation among various forces in the global village? Is it an inscription engraved in the human brain?

Borrowing a faint light of history, try to sneak a peek into the fuzzy future.

The end of this article