4.27 Some are watching the Middle East drama, while others are watching the real-market “harvest” ☕️


After finishing my last cup of coffee this afternoon, I glanced at the chart (Figure 1 / Figure 2). London Gold, XAUUSD.C, is holding steadily around 4707. This is a classic case of “when the bad news is out, it is good news.” Geopolitics is like the weather these days—it can change on a dime—but quantitative indicators don’t lie.
The facts: Over the weekend, the market has been talking about the Federal Reserve possibly releasing a signal of “more persistent high interest rates” by late April, and the dollar has been acting unusually strong today. Shouldn’t gold crash? But I found that the VIX index is pinned at 27.8 and hasn’t come down. #以太坊基金会解质押约4890万美元ETH
Quantitative approach: Since the direction is unclear, I’m not going to bet. Look at my trades today (Figure 2). When it was under pressure at 4718, I decisively Sell; when it hit the support at 4709, I switched and Buy back. In this “back-and-forth” monkey market, it’s best to eat the volatility.
Final word: Don’t guess who will win—Iran or the Federal Reserve. In this game, only your net value curve (the step-like rise in Figure 1) winning is the real win. #比特币突破7.9万美元
ETH-0,61%
BTC-0,26%
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