In the next two weeks, Bitcoin is likely to move in a clear directional trend, with the key variable being the outcome of negotiations between the United States and Iran.

• If negotiations go smoothly and the Middle East situation significantly eases, risk appetite will increase, and BTC is expected to break through the current resistance, pushing above 76,000.

• If negotiations fail, and conflicts continue or escalate, market risk aversion and selling pressure will quickly intensify, and the price is likely to drop to 65,000 or even lower.