Today is April 10, BTC price 72,090

1. BTC price has moved above the 60-day moving average, and the medium-term outlook is for an uptrend to form. Intraday also shows a bullish setup; for the short term, even if it pulls back to the 5-day moving average, it still favors going long.
2. Privacy coins like ZEC, DASH, and others are entering a stretch of consecutive gains mode. This is likely related to cryptocurrency sanctions tied to the Strait of Hormuz. Although current demand is for BTC and USDT/USDC, privacy coins can help launder money and avoid risks from U.S. sanctions. Further observation needed.
3. U.S.-Iran negotiations have entered a critical period. The biggest obstacle is still Israel. Iran has demonstrated its international standing, and the U.S. has at least gained more benefits. Since Israel has achieved no results so far, it is still trying to seize territory in Lebanon. My earlier prediction of an 85% chance that Vance would lead the talks, with a 15% risk that Israel continues to cause trouble, has fully come to pass.