Is the U.S.-Iran situation temporarily cooling down, driving a rebound in Bitcoin?

Early morning international news brought a key development: the U.S. and Iran reached a two-week temporary ceasefire agreement. The tense geopolitical conflict in the Middle East has been put on hold for the time being, regional tensions have eased, and maritime routes have resumed safe passage. The cooling of the situation directly led to changes in market performance—U.S. stock index Nasdaq soared, crude oil prices saw a sharp drop. Under the stimulus of this favorable news, Bitcoin prices recovered in step and regained the level above 7200.

It’s worth noting that this Bitcoin rebound is mainly driven by the news backdrop rather than large inflows of capital on the exchange. Overall market liquidity still remains relatively low, and there isn’t much willingness for funds to enter. Also, this ceasefire is only a short-term war-stoppage buffer—the conflict has not been completely resolved. After two weeks, there will still be uncertainty in the situation, so market participants should not let their guard down.

Bitcoin short-term trend: The four-hour chart shows a large bullish candle, breaking through the daily pressure level. In the short term, the moving averages are trending positively, and a bullish setup has taken shape for now. However, the rally lacks volume support, so the upward momentum will be hard to sustain. In the short term, a pullback and correction will likely be needed. For the short-term pullback, focus on the 7060 support level; as long as this level is not broken, the bullish trend will not change.

$BTC In terms of strategy, prioritize going long at lower levels. If the market pulls back into the 70530-70780 range, you can plan entries there, with a stop-loss placed at 6960. For the upside, first look at 71880 and 72760. After a breakout, then look toward 74550. Near the high around 74600, be alert to the risk of a pullback.

$ETH Ethereum is moving in sync with the overall market rhythm. In the short term, you can place longs in the 2178-2206 range, with a stop-loss set at 2135. For the first upside targets, watch 2266 and 2298. After breaking through resistance, continue to watch the 2425 level.

Finally, a reminder: the current market is experiencing significant volatility in the news, and short-term price action can change quickly. When trading, be sure to set your stop-losses, adjust your positions flexibly based on your own holdings, and control transaction risk. #美国伊朗同意停火两周