⚠️ Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. The following analysis is for technical and market insights only and does not constitute investment advice.

Today (April 8) ETH Market Overview 📈

• Current Price (15:50): $2,265 (¥16,300)

• 24h Change: +5.1%, in sync with a major BTC rally

• 24h Range: $2,150 ~ $2,273

• Driving Factors: US-EU ceasefire positive news, risk assets rebounding across the board

1. Key Technical Analysis

✅ Short-term Trend: Rebound and Recovery (Bullish bias)

• Price stabilizes above 2200, breaking previous resistance

• 4-hour moving averages are in a bullish alignment, MACD shows a bullish crossover below the zero line

• Volume is gradually increasing, indicating a healthy rebound

⚠️ Mid-term Trend: Still within a downtrend channel

• Has not broken through the strong resistance zone of 2300–2350, remains a weak rebound

• Daily MA90 (around 2310) is a key support/resistance level

2. Key Price Levels (Intraday)

• Strong Support: 2180–2200 (break below would invalidate the rebound structure)

• Minor Support: 2220–2230

• First Resistance: 2270–2280 (today’s high)

• Strong Resistance: 2300–2330 (channel upper boundary + MA90)

3. Today's Market Scenario (High Probability)

1. Pullback Confirmation

◦ First retest support zone at 2200–2220

◦ Volume decreases, stabilization → Valid rebound

2. Further Upward Move

◦ Target zone: 2270–2300

◦ Breakout with volume → Watch for 2330–2350

◦ No volume resistance → Possible pullback and consolidation

3. Risk Scenarios

◦ Fall below 2180 → Rebound ends, trend turns weak again

4. Trading Strategy (Short-term reference)

• Long Position: Wait for support at 2200–2180 to stabilize, stop-loss below 2150

◦ Targets: 2270 → 2300 → 2330

• Short Position: Resistance at 2300–2330 encountered for the first time, stop-loss above 2350

◦ Targets: 2250 → 2200

• Wait-and-See: Break above 2350 or fall below 2150 before taking further action

5. Summary

ETH is driven by geopolitical positive news, showing a strong rebound, but the medium-term downtrend remains unchanged.
Today’s focus is on defending 2200 support and attacking 2300 resistance.
Strategy: Primarily low-buying, avoid chasing highs, consider shorting at strong resistance, with strict stop-loss.

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