Natural gas has been grinding higher and just hit the 200-day moving average this morning, but honestly it's looking pretty overbought on the RSI right now. I think we're due for a pullback soon. The geopolitical concerns around nat gas are real, but I'm not going to chase this higher - I'm taking some profits and waiting for dips to add back in. The thing about trading natural gas through FX markets or commodity ETFs is that it moves way more on fundamentals than technicals. Unless you actually understand Northeastern weather patterns and can predict those erratic swings, timing this thing is nearly impossible. I've learned that the hard way. What's actually happened here is that US drillers were losing money at lower prices, and now that's finally changing - that's the real story. I use the UNG ETF for exposure, but the key thing is making sure whatever you trade is based on Henry Hub and not Dubai or other contracts, because the fundamentals are completely different. Henry Hub is the biggest contract out there. If we get a pullback anywhere near the $2 level, I'm definitely buying more of my position. I trimmed some profits earlier because I don't like overleveraging - this is just a small part of my portfolio anyway. Could it rip to $3? Sure, but that won't change my life either way. The goal is just to add to the pile over time with smart entries on the dips. That's how I'm playing the natural gas trade right now.