#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

Trump issues a 48-hour "final ultimatum." Will Black Monday reoccur next week?

If we were to choose the most diligent U.S. presidents in history, Trump might be among them. Not only does he often stir trouble on weekends, but he’s also not idle during Easter. Yesterday, Trump posted again on social media—"Remember when I gave Iran a 10-day deadline? Either reach an agreement or open the Strait of Hormuz. Time is running out—only 48 hours left before disaster strikes."

On Iran’s side, the military firmly rejected the U.S. "ultimatum" and vowed to defend national rights and protect state assets, making the invaders pay the price.

In response, after moving the USS Bush aircraft carrier to the Middle East, the U.S. also ordered the deployment of "extended-range joint area-denial external launch surface-to-surface missiles"(JASSM-ER) from multiple regions around the world for military operations against Iran. Most of these stealth cruise missile stocks will be deployed on the Middle Eastern battlefield.

The conflict between the two sides seems imminent, with ground warfare seemingly unavoidable. There’s a high possibility that the war could spill over into other regions, with Iran indiscriminately attacking pro-U.S. Middle Eastern countries. The entire Middle East could turn into chaos. All of this is set to unfold on April 6, Monday. Before the conflict escalates further, the spread of panic may be more frightening to markets than the war itself. Therefore, the global financial markets are likely to face another "Black Monday."

Next week’s key signals to watch: the opening of the Japan and South Korea stock markets.

Recently, the Japanese and South Korean stock markets have become barometers of the global financial market. As the earliest markets to open each day, their movements somewhat reflect the risk appetite of the day. If next Monday’s markets in Japan and South Korea still plunge sharply, risk should be carefully guarded against.

Key support/resistance levels for next week:

Bitcoin

First support: 65,000

Second support: 60,000

Resistance: 68,500

ETH

First support: 2020

Second support: 2000

Resistance: 2080

Gold

First support: 4550

Second support: 4300

Resistance: 4800

Oil

First support: 100

Second support: 95

Resistance: 118

Next week’s trading strategy: Focus on shorting high.

Risk warning: High leverage risks, strict stop-loss, light position trading.