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Does history repeat itself?
Gold tells us that clearly.
In the 1970s, the equation was:
Middle East war ← Oil shock ← Hyperinflation ← Gold price explosion.
Today, we see the same scene repeating with carbon;
Oil above $100, threats in the Strait of Hormuz,
and the Federal Reserve caught between the specter of inflation and recession fears.
Gold, which touched $5,000 last January,
is now settling around $4,300.
But with a crucial difference:
- America is no longer the only superpower; China's rise is significantly changing the dynamics.
- One of China's signs of strength is its gradual move away from US bonds and toward gold.
- US debt has reached unsustainable levels of over $39 trillion for the first time.
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Gold is not just a safe haven;
it’s the "thermometer" that measures the erosion of trust in the paper financial system during crises.
If this similarity to the 1970s continues, and gold begins to decline after the end of the Iran war:
This could be the most important investment lesson of this decade.
However, if gold ignores these events and continues to rise amid the real conflict between America and China,
this signals the start of a new global financial system.
Do you think we’ve reached the peak of gold,
or has the real journey of gold just begun?
Share your opinions in the comments.