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Military De-escalation Signal: Trump signaled on "Truth Social" that military operations are nearing their objectives and is considering "gradual de-escalation." This suggests the probability of a full-blown, uncontrollable war breaking out in the Middle East has significantly decreased. The market's biggest fear—"uncertainty"—is dissipating.
Oil Sanctions Easing: The U.S. Treasury Department approved a 30-day exemption on Iran oil sanctions. The core logic behind this move is to suppress oil prices and inflation by adding 1.4 billion barrels of market supply.
Macro Linkage: As long as oil prices stabilize, inflation expectations will decline, and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) room for rate cuts will be reopened. This represents direct valuation recovery upside for high-elasticity cryptocurrencies (especially ETH).
Currently, ETH is performing robustly at key support levels. With geopolitical headwinds exhausted, there's a high probability of attempting to break through previous resistance levels in the short term.
Geopolitical news is often subject to reversal, but the broader trend of "cooling down" has already been set by the White House. #加密行情震荡 $ETH $BTC