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Monday's opening was very decisive, with a sharp rally in the morning session pushing BTC directly through the 74,400 level. This key resistance has now been tested for the third time, with the long-short battle intensifying. This is the watershed moment that will set the direction for what comes next.
To be honest, I was previously biased toward the bearish side in that phase, and my timing judgment was off. Markets are constantly evolving, and real trading is never about stubbornly holding onto a view—it's about following the price action and respecting the trend.
Current strategy: Short-term looking for a bullish recovery, medium-term macro trend still bearish. From a structural perspective, intraday consolidation with upward movement and stabilization recovery, with bulls leading the recovery. 4-hour and hourly timeframes show converging bullish signals, with the 4-hour completing bottom stabilization.
Hourly level has broken through the upper Bollinger Band, price center has shifted upward, moving averages show bullish alignment with clear support. Short-term still has upside room. What comes next has only two scenarios: strong breakout continuation and further rally, or weakness at resistance with a pullback and sell-off.
My thinking is very clear: short-term trend-following bullish recovery, macro trend maintaining bearish thesis. Real major moves always happen at key levels.
Trading suggestions:
BTC: Buy around 72,700-72,000, targets 74,000-74,600 nearby, break through 76,000, 78,000
ETH: Buy around 2,230-2,190, targets 2,300-2,330 nearby, break through 2,400, 2,450
#加密市场上涨 $BTC $ETH $SOL