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ETH 1H Structure Analysis: Upward Shift in the Center of Oscillation, Bulls Attempting a Breakout 📌 Structural Breakdown (Structural Review): ETH 1H timeframe is in a Broad Trading Range (Wide Range Consolidation) phase. The bearish momentum has weakened, and the bulls have established a solid defense line between $1,900 and $1,920. The price is currently fluctuating around the flat EMA 20, in a state of energy accumulation.
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🎯 Probability Outlook (Future Scenarios):
·60% Probability: Test $2,050. The low point elevation structure indicates the market will revisit the upper limit of the range to seek liquidity.
·25% Probability: Sideways narrow trading around $1,950 with no clear direction.
·15% Probability: Break below $1,900, restarting the main downtrend on the daily chart.
⚠️ Invalidation Principle (Invalidation): The stop-loss is set at $1,890. If a large volume bearish candle on the 1H timeframe breaks through this level, the rebound logic is invalidated entirely.
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