ETH 4H Analysis: Bearish Momentum Weakening, Consolidation and Correction May Become the Main Theme

📌 Logical Breakdown:
From a PA perspective, the $1,901 at 2.11 and the $1,740 at 2.6 form a bottom lift. The overlap of 4H candlesticks increases, indicating that Selling Pressure ( has shifted from a "waterfall" to an "exhaustion" phase. Currently, the bulls are trying to build a Broad Trading Range ).
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📊 Key Zones:
·Upper Magnet (: $2,153 ) 2.8 Daily High@
·Lower Support (: $1,900 ) Bullish Support Zone@
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🎯 Probability Scenarios:
·55% Chance: Re-test the upper boundary of the range. If it can hold above $2,050, the target is directly $2,150.
·30% Chance: Enter a narrow sideways consolidation around $1,950.
·15% Chance: Volume drops below $1,900, initiating the third major downtrend.
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💡 Warning:
Currently, the probability favors a rebound, but beware of false breakouts around $2,050. It is recommended to set a firm defense near $1,900. If the market fails to rise within 48 hours as expected, be cautious of the risk of time decay.
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