#Bitcoin Sunday Analysis 📉


$BTC ‌ is still trading below 72k, with only a few hours left before the weekly candle closes. If we close below this level, Bitcoin officially enters the accumulation zone between 54k and 72k. The daily candle has already closed inside this range. As I mentioned earlier, I expect price to trade within this box for weeks, possibly months.
The 72k level was critical, which is why I opened a long there. My expectation was a bounce leading to a move toward 80k to 85k. That plan failed, and I accept that I was wrong. For any meaningful recovery, Bitcoin must reclaim 72k and hold above it. Only then does a move toward 80k to 85k become realistic.
On the macro side, I remain cautious about a looming financial crisis. Since August 2025, corporate insiders have been offloading shares at record speeds. While retail investors remain heavily positioned in the stock market, this "smart money" exit is a major red flag.
Another important risk factor is BTC trading below MicroStrategy’s (MSTR) average entry near 76k. Given their leveraged exposure, this adds systemic risk, increases fear, and creates additional downside pressure, especially as their equity collateral weakens.
Narrative FUD: The Epstein Files
Expect additional panic as rumors circulate regarding the Epstein files and potential (though likely unsubstantiated) links to Bitcoin. While I doubt this fundamentally changes Bitcoin's value, the narrative will likely fuel FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) and emotional selling among the masses.
I am still holding my remaining short position. I initially bet on 72k holding, but that level broke. I am now dollar cost averaging (DCA) on the long side, with my current long average around 67k. After the recent recovery, I closed 50% of my long position. I will consider adding more longs below 60k.
I do not believe the bottom is in yet. Further downside is possible, even below 50k, and if that happens, I will actively manage my long positions accordingly.
$BTC
#BuyTheDipOrWaitNow? #CryptoMarketPullback #CryptoMarketStructureUpdate #FedLeadershipImpact
BTC1,79%
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)