Quantum computing: commercialization still awaits another 19 years

The fundamental question for investors and analysts in the field of innovative technologies is when quantum computing will truly enter the commercial market. ARK Invest founder Cathy Wood shared her perspective on this issue, based on the results of extensive research conducted in the industry.

Development Forecast and Actual Timeline

Based on a detailed analysis of the current state of the technology, Wood estimates that viable commercial applications of quantum systems will emerge between the mid-2040s and the mid-2060s. This time horizon reflects a realistic understanding of the complexity involved in transitioning from laboratory prototypes to industrial-scale deployment.

Evolution of Expert Assessments

It is interesting to observe how Cathy Wood’s views have changed over her career. As she herself admits, in previous years there was a prevailing belief that the commercialization of quantum computing was always “just 20 years away.” Now, with many years of experience in the field, the expert clarifies her forecast: real commercial solutions could appear as soon as 19 years from now. This indicates that even intensive research and investments require significantly more time to transform theory into practical applications.

Wood’s conclusion emphasizes the importance of patience and strategic investment in long-term technological projects that could revolutionize the global economy in the future.