Picton Investments' management recently put forward an interesting point: if the Trump administration chooses a Federal Reserve Chair who is too easily influenced, the bond market will respond quickly. This actually reflects a core issue—the strength of market discipline. Once investors feel that the Federal Reserve could be overly influenced and lose its independence, bond prices will fall and yields will soar. This logic is also very relevant to the cryptocurrency market, as the Fed's policy direction directly impacts the performance of risk assets overall. In simple terms, market oversight is more effective than any rhetoric.
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DAOTruant
· 12h ago
The market is much more honest than politicians; bond yields don't lie.
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BTCRetirementFund
· 14h ago
In plain terms, the capital market doesn't buy that stuff. Political interference, the independence of the Federal Reserve—markets will teach it a lesson in no time.
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MetaLord420
· 01-20 17:44
The market has its own fair scale, and the Federal Reserve can't play tricks... Bonds will tell the truth
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ShibaSunglasses
· 01-19 13:42
To put it simply, if the Federal Reserve really gets trapped, the market will teach them a lesson at any moment, and bonds will be the first to rebel.
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TokenDustCollector
· 01-19 13:42
In plain terms, when the Federal Reserve is played around with, yields skyrocket, and the bond market is the most honest... The crypto market is even more susceptible to this, and a policy change can cause chaos worldwide.
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TestnetScholar
· 01-19 13:41
The bond market is truly the most honest judge. When the Federal Reserve's independence wavers, yields immediately jump. This market discipline is indeed ruthless.
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NotFinancialAdviser
· 01-19 13:39
The balancing mechanisms in the bond market are indeed tough, but the question is, does the crypto market have the buying power? It seems like we are more influenced by policy trends on our side.
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VibesOverCharts
· 01-19 13:36
The bond market will react, but the crypto market is even more intense. Just see if you can hold up.
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GateUser-74b10196
· 01-19 13:35
Market discipline is much harsher than political manipulation; bonds don't lie.
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TradFiRefugee
· 01-19 13:25
The bond market is really the most honest one; it can't be fooled. Instead of listening to all kinds of official rhetoric, it's better to see what bond yields are saying.
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So, the Federal Reserve's independence is gone, and the market is directly voting with its feet. This move is a bit ruthless, huh.
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That's why I keep a close eye on bond yields; they are more real than any press release.
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The linkage between crypto and the bond market... this logic has actually been understood for a long time, just no one dares to say it out loud.
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Market discipline is the real constraint; political statements are useless, money will choose itself.
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One sentence: bonds don't lie.
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Yes, the market is more ruthless than the central bank; that's an iron law.
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Want to manipulate the Federal Reserve? Try to see how bonds will punish you.
Picton Investments' management recently put forward an interesting point: if the Trump administration chooses a Federal Reserve Chair who is too easily influenced, the bond market will respond quickly. This actually reflects a core issue—the strength of market discipline. Once investors feel that the Federal Reserve could be overly influenced and lose its independence, bond prices will fall and yields will soar. This logic is also very relevant to the cryptocurrency market, as the Fed's policy direction directly impacts the performance of risk assets overall. In simple terms, market oversight is more effective than any rhetoric.